Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on under.

The Cavs have won nine straight head to head meetings against Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons scored an average of 55 points in those games. The last two meetings went over the total, but the number in those games was far lower than the total we see here today. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavs have played three home games in conference play, and all three of those games fell well short of 129 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

At this point in the Premier League season, a match between two teams at the bottom of the table can be just as exciting as a match between two of the top teams. Watford is just two points clear of relegation, and Newcastle is currently tied with Burnley and just one point clear of last place Norwich. That makes this a must win for both these teams as they look to aviod relegation. Newcastle has the advantage, with deep pockets they have been buying players to improve their squad. Watford has scored at least one goal in seven of their last eight matches, and they have conceded at least two goals in seven of those eight games. This one should be a thriller.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on NE.

The Patriots ran for 222 yards and two TDs in a 14-0 win in a snow storm in Buffalo in December, and that game exposed the flaws of this Bills team. They rely too heavily on the arm of Josh Allen, and it cost them. They likely won't have to deal with snow this time around, but the forecast calls for temperatures of -12. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and they are getting more points in this game than they were in their last visit to Orchard Park. In a game that has a high probability of being decided by a field goal, I am getting the team with the better coach and I am getting 4+ points? Sign me up.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Vegas.

Everyone is talking about Joe Burrow and the Bengals. They won three of their final four games, clinching the division. Keep in mind only one of those wins came by more than five points. The Raiders aren't getting much hype at all, despite ending the season on a four game winning streak. Joe Burrow might be the more talented QB (remains to be seen), but at 30 years of age Derek Carr has 30 game winning drives under his belt. He holds an NFL record with 24 fourth quarter comebacks. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven Wildcard games, and the fact that they are favored by more than a FG suggests that recency bias is at play here. I'll take the points with the veteran QB on a team with the exact same record.

GL,

Jesse Schule