Jimmy Boyd

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates +143

We played and won on Pittsburgh yesterday and a big reason why was the difficultly for Washington to bring their "A" game on the road against a bad team like the Pirates. Even with starter Chris Archer leaving early, Pittsburgh's staff held a red-hot Washington (had scored 43 runs in their last 3 combined) team to just 1 run. 

I think this entire series is going to be really tough on Washington. Bad teams like to play spoiler, so the effort should only be stronger after a win. I also think it's worth fading Nationals starter Pat Corbin on the road. Corbin has been filthy at home, but is just 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 13 road starts. That includes a 6-12 mark the last 2 years as a road favorite of -110 or more. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Marlins +180

This is just too good a price to pass up with Miami. As bad as the Marlins might be, you have to consider backing them when Caleb Smith is on the mound. They have won 11 of his 20 starts, as he's posted a strong 3.47 ERA and 1.093 WHIP on the season. 

This also is a good time to be fading Atlanta starter Julio Teheran. He was just rocked at home by the Mets, giving up 6 runs on 8 hits and was pulled after recording just 4 outs. Marlins are 6-2 in Smith's last 8 starts and are 4-1 in his last 5 when he's on a full 5 days of rest. Take Miami! 

1* Free MLB Pick on Boston Red Sox -163

I like the Red Sox to bounce back and avoid the quick 2-game sweep at home. Boston had won 5 straight before losing the series opener 3-2 on Tuesday. It really felt like the Red Sox gave that away as they had all the chances in the world to win that game late. 

Philadelphia's offense scored all 3 of their runs in the 1st inning and had a stretch where 15 straight were retired. That's now 3 straight with 3 or fewer runs scored. Hard to win on the road against a good team when you can't score. The problem is the Phillies will likely need more than 3 to win this one.

Philadelphia will be sending out Drew Smyly, who is a mere 2-5 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.594 WHIP in 14 starts. It hasn't been any better of late, as he owns a 8.04 ERA in his last 3 outings. No surprise that the Phillies are 1-5 in his last 6 road starts vs a team with a losing home record. 

Red Sox will turn to Rick Porcello, who has been throwing a little better of late. He's got a 3.71 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time out he held the Orioles to just 1 run on 4 hits. Porcello faced the Phillies last year and was sharp, holding Philadelphia to 1 run on 1 hits in 7 innings. 

Even with yesterday's loss Boston is 20-7 in their last 27 interleague games against a team with a winning record and 40-15 in their last 55 interleague home games. If that's not enough, Red Sox are 14-2 in Porcello's last 16 interleague starts. Take Boston! 

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5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +105

Love the Orioles in Wednesday's home game against the Royals. Baltimore lost a heartbreaker in the opener 5-4, but battled back with a 4-1 win on Tuesday. It's just a real struggle for KC to score runs. Royals haven't had 6 or fewer hits for the game in 6 of their last 7 contests. 

It's a big reason why I'm not worried about the poor numbers for Orioles starter Aaron Brooks. KC is just 17-48 in their last 65 road games vs a right-handed starter and 2-9 in their last 11 vs an AL starter with a ERA of 5.90 or worse. Take Baltimore!