Jimmy Boyd

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NBA Late Night Total MASSACRE  on Rockets/Lakers UNDER

I think we are seeing a big overreaction here with the total in tonight's highly anticipated showdown between the Rockets and Lakers, which will mark the home debut of LeBron James in LA. The Rockets saw 243 combined points in their opener against the Pelicans, but it was New Orleans not Houston who lit up the scoreboard. 

The Lakers saw a 147 combined points in their opener against the Blazers, but they had just 119 to Portland's 128. I really liked the effort we got from LA and this is a team that really needs to play hard defensively to have a chance with their lack of 3-point shooting. With this being James' first home game, I think we get a max effort here from both sides on the defensive end, as each wants to avoid the 0-2 start. 

UNDER is 7-1 in the Rockets last 8 after allowing 125 or more points in their previous game and 8-3 in their last 11 off a loss. UNDER is also 11-1 in Houston's last 12 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! 

4* Dodgers/Brewers Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers -

I'm confident the Dodgers are going to take Game 7 on the road and punch their ticket to the World Series. I just think the fact that LA has been in this type of game several times over the last few seasons in the playoffs is going to pay off big time.

Not to mention, I have a lot more confidence in Dodgers starters Walker Buehler than I do Milwaukee's Jhoulys Chacin. Buehler has a 2.67 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 25 starts and has really pitched well in each of his two starts against the Brewers this season. Both starts he held Milwaukee to just 5 hits in 7 innings and had 15 total strikeouts. Chacin only had a 3.55 ERA dand 1.297 WHIP in 14 home starts and I think the pressure will get the best of him in this one. 

Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 12-2 in their last 14 off a loss and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5+ runs. Take Los Angeles! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto 

This is too good a price to pass up with the Raptors. All the talk has been about how the Eastern Conference is a race between the 76ers and Celtics after LeBron James went to LA. Toronto is every bit as good as those two with the addition of Khawi Leonard and they showed it last night in their 113-101 win over the Celtics. 

The fact that the Raptors are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set is definitely keeping this lower than it should be. Washington is a playoff team, but not a real threat to make it out of the east. They lost their home opener to a Miami team playing on no rest and the Heat are missing a bunch of guys to injury. I think Toronto is a team on a mission early and will have no problem winning this one on the road. 

Raptors are 40-25 ATS in their last 65 off a win by 10 or more and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 when that double-digit win came over a division rival. Take Toronto! 

5* NBA Southeast GAME OF THE MONTH on Hornets +

I really like what I have seen from Charlotte to start this new season. The Hornets lost a heartbreaker at home to the Bucks 113-112 on Wednesday, but followed that up with a 120-88 blowout win at Orlando. Charlotte is really pushing the pace this year and are shooting lights out from deep, as they come in averaging 16 made 3-pointers and are shooting 43.4% from long distance. 

Miami lost to the Magic on the road in their opener Wednesday and squeaked out a win at Washington on Thursday. The Heat are playing short-handed to start the new season, as Wayne Ellington, Justise Winslow, James Johnson and Dion Waiters are all out with injuries. I just don't think Miami will have enough gas in the tank to keep up with Charlotte and all we need is for the Hornets to lose by 4 or less. 

Hornets are 24-8 in their last 32 road games after playing a game where they led by 15 or more points at the half. Miami has failed to cover 6 of their last 7 at home. Take Charlotte! 

3* NCAAF SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Kentucky -

I think we are getting a great price here on the Wildcats laying less than two touchdowns at home against the Commodores. Vandy was able to put up a decent fight last week at home against Florida, but I think that was more of a result of the Gators not being 100% invested from the start.

Definitely a tough spot for Florida off that huge home win over LSU and knowing they had their bye week on deck before the massive showdown with Georgia. The Gators let the Commodores get out to a 21-3 lead and from that point on they were a different team and outscored Vanderbilt 34-6 and wound up outgaining them 576 to 336. 

I don't see Kentucky sleep-walking into this one. The Wildcats are coming off a bye and my bet is this team can't wait to get back on the field after suffering their first loss of the season at Texas A&M in overtime. I just think that Kentucky's defense will be able to completely shutdown the Commodores offense and Benny Snell and that Wildcats offense will be able to have their way, as Vanderbilt comes in ranked 94th in the country against the run, giving up 183.3 ypg. This one has blowout written all over it. Take Kentucky! 

4* NCAAF ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Wake Forest +

Love the value here with the Demon Deacons as a double-digit underdog against the Seminoles. I think we are seeing a massive overreaction here with Wake Forest losing 63-3 last time out at home to Clemson and Florida State barely missing out on an upset win at Miami as a 14.5-point dog. 

Both teams have had extra time to prepare off a bye, but there's only one team I trust to show up and that's Wake Forest. It doesn't matter how bad a year FSU is having, the bottom teams in this league are going to get up to play them. You can almost always count on a team coming out with a big time effort after getting embarrassed the way the Demon Deacons did in that loss to the Tigers. 

Speaking of Clemson, they are a big reason why I don't trust the Seminoles in this spot. Florida State hosts the Tigers next week and there's not a game outside of maybe Florida in their finale that they want to win more than that game. Not to mention their practice routine has been out of whack with hurricane that hit home. I not only think they don't cover, but I could easily see the Demon Deacons winning this game outright. Take Wake Forest! 

4* NCAAF Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Memphis +

I think we would be seeing a lot different line here had Memphis not squandered that game against UCF last week. Memphis led 20-7 early and 30-17 at the half, somehow managed to go scoreless over the final 2 periods in a 31-30 loss. 

That does bring into some concern of a letdown after a crushing loss like that, but I think getting a chance to take on a SEC team will have Memphis 100% ready to go. On the flip side of this, I think Missouri could have a hard time getting up for this game off their game against No. 1 Alabama. Especially with the likes of Kentucky and Florida next up on the schedule. 

I also think that even if Missouri came to play, they would have a tough time putting away this Memphis team by double-digits. Memphis has a potent offense that comes in averaging 43.9 ppg and 539 ypg. Missouri is giving up 30.5 ppg and 6.2 yards/play. 

It's also worth noting that Memphis is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 off a conference loss by 3 points or less, while Missouri falls into a horrible situation. Home favorites, who are averaging 31+ ppg are just 60-111 (35%) ATS over the last 10 seasons when coming off a loss by 17 or more. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAF Big Favorite PLAY OF THE WEEK Clemson -

A lot of people are going to look at this line and want to grab the points with NC State. Hard to blame them, as the Wolfpack come in 5-0 and ranked No. 16 in the country. If history repeats itself like it has in the past, you are going to want to load up on the Tigers. The last 8 times a team has entered a game at 5-0 and been more than 14-point road dog, the home favorite has covered every single time. 

I know the Wolfpack have a decent quarterback in Ryan Finley, but I just don't think this NC State team is as good as people think. They lost a lot from last year's team and have had a pretty easy schedule to this point with their toughest games being home matchups against Virginia and Boston College. 

Last time out Clemson annihilated Wake Forest 63-3.  I just think this Tigers team is better than what they have shown to this point and that blowout win over the Demon Deacons is the start of something special. Trevor Lawrence is getting more and more comfortable in the offense and this Clemson defense is loaded with NFL talent. They haven't played their best and yet are 8th in the country in total offense (531 ypg) and 3rd in total defense (261.1 ypg). 

I love elite teams, especially at home, in big time matchups and I think they are going to make quite the statement in a blowout win on Saturday. Bet Clemson! 

3* NCAAF SUN BELT PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia Southern UNDER

The books have set the total way too high for this non-conference slate between Georgia Southern and New Mexico State. I think we are seeing a big number here because of how poorly the Aggies defense has played, as they come in giving up 43.7 ppg.

The key here is that Georgia Southern is a team that runs the option, which means they are going to put together a lot of long possessions and eat up the clock. I think New Mexico State can at least hold their own defensively against the run at home and last time out for the Eagles they managed just 15 points against a pretty bad Texas State defense. 

The other thing that I think will keep this thing UNDER the mark, is I don't see New Mexico State's offense being able to do much of anything in this one. Georgia Southern has really played well defensively this year, as they are giving up just 17.3 ppg. The Aggies aren't a good rushing team and their passing attack is going to be greatly limited in this one, as winds are expected to be blowing straight across the field at close to 20 mph. 

UNDER was 6-0 in New Mexico State's 6 home games over the last 3 seasons in the 2nd half of the season and 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games overall. UNDER is also 6-1 in Georgia Southern's last 7 games and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota/Nebraska UNDER

Most are going to expect a high-scoring game here, but I think I don't see these two going past the mark set here. This is a must-win game for both sides. Nebraska is still searching for their first win of 2018, while the Golden Gophers are trying to snap a 3-game skid. 

I know the defensive numbers aren't great for the Cornhuskers, but while they ended up giving up 34 points to Northwestern, the Wildcats only had 14 going into the 4th quarter. Given how much this game means to Nebraska I expect a max effort on the defensive side of the ball and this Minnesota offense is certainly one they can contain. The Gophers are averaging just 19.3 ppg in Big Ten play and that's with them scoring 31 against Iowa. 

Minnesota's defense has allowed 30+ points in each of their last 3 games, but are much better than that and have simply played some high-powered offenses during this stretch. 

Another factor here that will get overlooked by most, is the conditions for this game should favor the defenses. It's going to be windy in Linclon with wends blowing anywhere from 15 to 20 mph. That's going to force both teams to run it more than they would like and could also play a role in special teams with field goals being that much tougher.

UNDER is also 13-2 in Nebraska's last 15 games as a favorite and 10-2 over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

1* Free Pick on Iowa/Maryland UNDER

This is going to seem like an extremely low total with how these two teams have been putting up points. Maryland comes in averaging 32.3 ppg over their last 3 and Iowa is off back-to-back games where they put up at least 42 points. 

Oddsmakers certainly aren't buying into these recent results as this total has only been dropping. It's easy to see why when you look at how these two teams matchup. Maryland is extremely one-dimensional on offense. They are 17th in rushing at 245.2 ypg compared to 125th in passing (120.5 ypg). 

That's going to make it really tough for them to move the ball against this Iowa defense, which is 4th in the nation against the run, giving up only 81.5 ypg and just 2.7 yards/carry. 

The key here is I don't think we are going to see the Hawkeyes offense going off. Iowa hasn't been running the ball nearly as effectively as they normally do. They are really riding the arm of junior quarterback Nathan Stanley. That's where it gets dicey for the Hawkeyes, as Maryland has a strong defense and it's going to be really hard to be accurate passing with winds expected to be blowing at close to 25 mph. 

UNDER is 10-2 in Iowa's last 12 after scoring 37 or more points in 2 straight games and 20-8 in Maryland's last 28 after playing a game where they had a lead of 17 or more points at the half. Take the UNDER! 

Jimmy Boyd is ready to add to his impressive 127-99 (56%) Run Over L226 NCAAF Picks! 

**Red-Hot 59% (93-64) Run L157 NCAAF ATS**

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5* NCAAF Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington State -

Game Day is headed to Pullman for the first time and it's going to be nuts at Martin Stadium Saturday night when the No. 25 Cougars host No. 12 Oregon. I think that atmosphere combined with how great a spot this is for Washington State and how tough a spot this is for the Ducks, really gives the Cougars the upper hand. 

Washington State has had two full weeks to prepare for this game off a bye, while Oregon has to be running on fumes after their overtime win against No. 7 Washington. I know the Cougars haven't played some of the top teams in the country, but they have an impressive win at home over a really good Utah team and more than held their own on the road against USC in a prime time game. 

Offensively, both teams can put up point sin a hurry, as both come in averaging over 40 ppg and 480 ypg. Both teams are also strong defensively, though I would definitely give the edge to the Cougars playing at home and having had those two full weeks of practice to prepare for this Ducks' offensive attack. 

Cougars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games when they come in having won 2 or more games in a row and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Take Washington State!