Jimmy Boyd

4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Flames +140

I like the value here with Calgary as a decently priced road dog against the Golden Knights. I get the Flames come in having lost 3 straight, but they are still hands down the better team. Vegas has been a mess of late. The Knights have lost 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. 

Revenge is a big factor here, as Vegas did win 6-2 at home in an earlier meeting back in October. Road dogs revenging a road loss, who have a marginal losing record (Winning percentage 40% -49%) are 18-7 (72%) over the last 5 seasons if the revenge comes in the 1st half of the season and the opponent enters with a losing record. Take Calgary! 

3* NCAAB - Undervalued UNDERDOG on Charlotte +4 -110

I like the 49ers to cover the small number at home against the Demon Deacons. Everyone keeps waiting for Danny Manning to work his magic in Winston-Salem, but it's just not happening. Wake has won just 11-games each of the last two years, both times going a mere 4-14 in ACC play. 

They would of had a chance to be decent had freshmen Jaylen Hoard stuck around, but he left early for the NBA. I get Charlotte isn't the best program, but we saw the Demon Deacons already barely beat Columbia at home 65-63. 

Wake did win last time out against UNC-Asheville, but are just 5-13 ATS last 18 off a SU win and 2-5-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Illinois State -1½ -110

I got no problem laying the short number at home with the RedBirds in Sunday's game against UCF. I just think the Knights are in some trouble this season. UCF had a dream season last year, winning 24-games and coming up just short of upsetting Duke and advancing to the Sweet 16. 

The Knights lost every key player from that team and it's going to be a struggle for them to come anywhere close to what they were. They just lost at home by 9 to Miami as a 3-point dog and I look for them to struggle in their first true road game of the season. 

Redbirds have thrived in this spot, going 26-13 ATS in their last 39 as a home favorite of 3-points or less. Take Illinois State! 

3* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS DESTROYER on Wisconsin -1 -105

The Badgers are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. Just feel like like Marquette is getting a little too much love here off a 10-point home win against Purdue. 

Golden Eagles had a chance to be special this year until Sam and Joey Hauser decided to transfer. Now it's just the Markus Howard show and while he's great, it's hard to be a one-man show and win on the road against a team like Wisconsin that really gets after you defensively. You can bet the Badgers are going to really focus on Howard and make the other guys beat them. 

Wisconsin comes in off a 83-63 blowout win at home over McNeese State and are 32-16 ATS last 48 at home off a home win by 20 or more points. Marquette on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take Wisconsin! 

1* Free Pick on Pacific Tigers -6 -110

Great value with Pacific at home against the Highlanders. Both games the Tigers have dropped have come in the role of underdog. They easily covered as a 9-point favorite vs Florida A&M and come in off a 86-48 blowout win at home over Pacific Union. 

That last game puts Pacific in a very profitable spot, as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring teams by 12+ points/game and led in their previous game by 20+ points at the half are a dominant 50-10 (83%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. 

UC-Riverside had that big upset win at Nebraska to open the season, but they have been overvalued in both games since. They only beat Idaho by 7 as a 12-point home favorite and then got steamrolled 62-49 at Sacramento State as a mere 3-point dog. 

Highlanders are just 4-11 ATS last 15 games dating back to last season and are 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Pacific! 

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3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Magic under 223 -109

UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's NBA matchup between Orlando and Washington. The Magic are just an ideal UNDER team, as they rank dead last in the league in pace of play (99.7). They are 28th in offensive efficiency (100.9) and 5th in defensive efficiency (100.0). 

UNDER is 8-3-1 in Orlando's last 12 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs a bad team like the Wizards that has won less than 40% of their games. 

UNDER is 29-7 (81%) with a total of 220 to 229.5 when you have a road team off a win that's won between 25% to 40% of their games and facing another team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cavs +7 -105

Love the value here with the Cavs as a big home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 and have failed to cover 4 straight. 76ers are not a good road team and are playing their 3rd straight away from home. 

Cavs might be one of the least talented teams in the league, but they are playing hard under first year head coach John Beilein. This team has been routinely undervalued by the books and that's evident by Cleveland's 6-3-2 ATS record. 

76ers are 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road against a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Cavs are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home and 5-1 ATS last 6 on 2 days of rest. Take Cleveland! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jets/Redskins under 38½ -102

Don't be scared away of the low total here. In fact, I think we are getting some decent value here with the UNDER at this price. The Jets 34-point outburst last week was simply a result of playing an awful Giants defense. The Redskins might be a bad team, but the defense has been more than respectable, especially given how much they are on the field. 

Washington's defense should also have one of it's better performances coming off of their bye and playing at home. Prior to going off against the other New York team, the Jets had topped 20 points just once in their first 8 games. 

Speaking of offenses that can't score. The Redskins have gone 7 straight games with 17 or fewer points and have failed to top 10 points in 5 of those games. It's not going to get any better with Dwayne Haskins at quarterback. He's just not ready, but at this point Washington really has nothing to lose throwing him out there. 

UNDER is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs bad teams that are getting outscored by 6+ points/game. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Jets last 28 on the road in the 2nd half vs team that allow 350+ yards/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Eagles under 45 -101

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's Super Bowl rematch from two years ago, as the Eagles host the Patriots. I just think this is going to be a defensive struggle. I know New England's defense didn't look great in their last game against the Ravens. Some will say that's because they finally played a legit quarterback. Part of that is true. Lamar Jackson is an absolute nightmare to defend. He's the one guy that can still beat a defense even when they do everything right. 

Not to take anything away from Carson Wentz, but he just doesn't pose the same threat. Add in how motivated New England is going to be coming off that poor showing and that they have had two weeks to prepare off their bye, I expect them to return to that elite form we saw in their first 8 games.

As for the Patriots offense, I think some of the struggles we saw against the Ravens could linger on, especially on the road against a talented defense like the Eagles, which feels like it's getting better as the season progresses. 

Under is 16-5 in New England's last 21 road games when listed as a favorite and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Eagles are also off a bye and the UNDER is 23-10 in their last 33 off a bye. It's also 9-2 in their last 11 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - AFC South PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jaguars +3 -120

Sure the Colts were without starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett in last week's ugly loss to the Dolphins, but they were still a 10-point favorite and lost outright. Even with Brissett back I see Indy struggling here against a rested and highly motivated Jaguars team coming off their bye. 

Jacksonville got embarrassed by the Texans in their last game and with that came the end of Minshew mania. Lucky for the Jags is they get back their starting QB in Nick Foles and I think he gives this team a big boost as they try to make a push for the playoffs. 

Another thing that I think gets overlooked with Indy's recent struggles is they haven't had TY Hilton. Colts are 5-1 in games Hilton plays with the only loss coming in OT. They are 0-3 without him and a big reason for that is defenses can creep up a little more and focus on not letting Indy get the running game going. 

Colts are just 9-21 ATS last 30 at home off a loss by 6 or less and 0-6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Jags have gone 3-0-1 last 4 years off their bye and are 5-1 ATS last 6 vs another team from the AFC. Take Jacksonville!