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Jimmy Boyd

Jimmy Boyd
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Jimmy Boyd's CBB Season Pass! (SIX Top-10s!)

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College basketball is a grind. Hundreds of teams, daily action, and unpredictable upsets make it nearly impossible for casual bettors to win long term. The books thrive on that chaos — and most players end up watching their bankroll slowly disappear.

That’s where I deliver. With six documented Top-10 finishes in CBB handicapping on this very site, I’ve proven season after season that I can cut through the noise and find consistent edges. My clients don’t just survive the college hoops season — they build their bankrolls while everyone else struggles.

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College hoops and the NBA are two of the most profitable markets — if you know what you’re doing. The problem is, most bettors get buried by the volume of games, constant line moves, and emotional swings. They spread themselves too thin, and their bankroll doesn’t survive until March.

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Every NBA and CBB pick I release all season long — from tip-off in October to the NBA Finals and Final Four.

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Jimmy Boyd's NBA Season Pass! (SIX Top 10s!)

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The truth is most NBA bettors lose. The lines are sharp, the schedule is long, and bad beats stack up fast. If you’ve tried going it alone, you’ve probably seen your bankroll shrink instead of grow.

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Here’s what you get with my full NBA season pass:

Every NBA pick I release all season long — sides, totals, and premium-rated plays.

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**6x Top 10 MLB handicapper!**

The MLB regular season is a grind, and the playoffs are a whole different beast. Every pitch matters, every bullpen move is magnified, and the lines are tighter than ever. Casual bettors get eaten alive this time of year by chasing momentum, overreacting to headlines, and watching their bankrolls crumble.

That’s where I thrive. My edge gets even sharper in the postseason because I know how to read matchups, rotations, and pressure situations that the sportsbooks can’t fully account for. When the public is betting with emotion, I’m betting with data, and that’s why my clients make money when it matters most.

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Every MLB pick I release — sides, totals, and premium-rated best bets.

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Yesterday's Plays

Matchup Pick Rating Score Result Profit Analysis
Dream vs Wings UNDER 180½ -105 Premium 77-72 Win 100
3* HEAVY HITTER on Dream/Wings: under 180½ This total is built on one game of film for each side, and the numbers underneath it are screaming regression. Dallas dropped 107 in their opener on 59% from the floor and 52% from three. That 0.68 eFG% is not a real number over a full WNBA season. It's an outlier, and the market is treating it like a baseline. Atlanta's debut went the other direction. The Dream shot 24% from three and turned it over on 24% of their possessions. Even at a 103.8 pace, they only managed a 104.6 offensive rating in a 91-point game. The opposition case leans on Dallas pace (106.8) and the loss of Brionna Jones inside for Atlanta. Fair points. But Dallas posting a 120.2 offensive rating again against a fresh defense, on the road shooting they put up in game one, is the bet you're making on the Over. I'm not paying that price. Four 20-point scorers in the opener gets cited as a reason to expect fireworks. Allisha Gray dropped 24, Arike 22, Bueckers 20, Sims 20. Those four combining for 86 again is the exception, not the rule. WNBA scoring distributions flatten out fast once teams get a real scout. Atlanta's last 19 games have gone Under 13 times. That's their identity even when the pace ticks up. Dallas was 116.9 on defense in game one, so the regression cuts both ways: their offense cools, and Atlanta's 42% shooting team isn't punishing them for 95. I like the Under 180.5 (-105)
Cardinals vs A's Cardinals +1½ -140 Premium 6-4 Win 100
3* HEAVY HITTER on Cardinals +1½ The Cardinals are 23-17 and playing their best baseball on the road. They're 12-4 SU in their last 16 away games and 9-4 SU over their last 13 overall. That's a team I want on the run line at a fair number. The head-to-head history backs it up. St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Oakland. The A's counter with a 4-2 SU mark in their last 6 home games versus the Cards, but that's a smaller sample on a team that's only 21-19 and dealing with real lineup holes. Oakland is without Max Muncy (10-Day IL) and Denzel Clarke (10-Day IL), and shortstop Jacob Wilson is day-to-day after an MRI on a shoulder sprain. That's three lineup pieces either out or compromised against a Cardinals club running hot. The opposition's best argument is the pitching matchup. Jeffrey Springs and his 3.89 ERA against Andre Pallante at 4.34 is a real edge for the A's, and the Cardinals have had issues with lefties this year. I get it. But Springs has been homer-prone lately at 3.26 HR/9 over his last three starts, and St. Louis actually cuts its strikeout rate from 23.4% to 18% against southpaws. They put the ball in play, and they hit it hard right now. I'm buying a run and a half with a road team that's 12-4 in its last 16 and 6-3 in this head-to-head. I like the Cardinals +1.5 (-140)
Cubs vs Braves Cubs +1½ -170 Premium 2-5 Loss -170
Tuesday's Premium Pick: Cubs +1.5 (-170) The Braves came into this series banged up and just got worse. Ronald Acuña Jr. is on the 10-day IL, and Sean Murphy hit the IL today with a fractured finger. That's the heart of the order and the starting catcher gone, with Drake Baldwin now handling Grant Holmes behind the plate in a spot-start situation. Holmes hasn't been the answer either. He's 2-1 with a 4.34 ERA, and his last time out he gave up 5 earned and 7 hits in 5 innings to Colorado. His xERA of 4.35 says the surface number is exactly what he is. This is a back-end starter the Cubs lineup can get to. Chicago is 27-14 and 10-2 SU in their last 12. They're also 4-2 SU in their last 6 against Atlanta. Colin Rea has been steady at 4-1 with a 4.03 ERA and has gone 5+ innings in 4 of his last 5 starts. The opposition case is real. Rea's 4.50 xERA and .443 xSLG allowed say regression is coming, and Atlanta's pitching staff is legit. I get it. But +1.5 isn't asking the Cubs to win outright. It's asking them to lose by one or fewer against a depleted lineup behind a 4.34 ERA starter. That's a different question. The price is the kicker. -170 was the open. The market has moved to roughly -192 to -200 after the Murphy news. I'm getting 20+ cents of value off current consensus. I like the Cubs +1.5 (-170)
Marlins vs Twins Marlins +1½ -195 Free 0-3 Loss -195
Tuesday's Free Pick: Marlins +1.5 (-195) Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 home games and 6-12 SU in its last 18 overall. This isn't a team punishing visitors at Target Field right now. They're 18-23 and trending the wrong way. Miami owns this matchup historically. The Marlins are 6-2 SU in their last 8 against Minnesota. That's a real pattern, not a small-sample fluke. Bailey Ober is a get-able starter. The 4.19 ERA is mediocre, and his last outing was 5 IP, 6 H, 5 ER against Washington. He's gone five-plus in every start, but the contact quality against him is real. A .243 xBA and .386 xSLG say hitters are squaring him up. The opposition case centers on Eury Perez and his 5.01 ERA, and yes, that's the risk. Perez walked 5 in his last start and hasn't completed six innings in three straight. I'm not pretending that away. But I'm not betting Perez to outduel anyone. I'm betting Miami stays within a run, and the +1.5 cushion is the whole point of paying the juice here. The 17 MPH NW wind at Target Field plays in Miami's favor too. NW wind at Target generally knocks down balls to left-center, and Minnesota's righty power (Buxton, Lewis, Jeffers) loses more from that than Miami's lefty-heavy lineup. Give me the run and a half with the team that consistently beats this opponent against a home club that can't hold serve. I like the Marlins +1.5 (-195)
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Diamondbacks +128 Top Premium 4-7 Loss -100
Tuesday's Premium Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+128) Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last six games against Texas, and the Diamondbacks just took the series opener 1-0. The market is still pricing them as a clear road dog at +128. That's the gap I'm playing. The knock on this side is Zac Gallen's underlying profile. His 5.45 xERA and .301 xBA against suggest the surface 4.70 ERA is generous, and a Rangers lineup with three lefties at the top (Pederson, Nimmo, Seager) is a real matchup concern. I'm not dismissing it. But Gallen doesn't need to dominate here. He needs to keep this Rangers offense in check for five or six innings, and Texas is doing the heavy lifting on that front. The Rangers have lost six of their last nine and the total has gone UNDER in nine straight home games at Globe Life Field. This is a lineup not driving in runs, missing Wyatt Langford, Josh Smith, and Cody Freeman. Throwing Ildemaro Vargas at first isn't ideal for Arizona, but the bar to score against the current Rangers offense is low. MacKenzie Gore has the better xERA at 4.17, but his last five starts tell the real story: 23.1 IP, 21 ER, 16 walks. He hasn't gone more than 5.1 innings in any of them. Texas is leaning on a fatigued bullpen. Dog price, recent H2H dominance, struggling home team, opposing starter walking the park. That's the play. I like the Diamondbacks ML (+128)

Picks in Progress

MLB May 13 '26, 6:45 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
Phillies vs Red Sox Play on: Phillies +1½ -162 at circa
Play on: Phillies +1½ -162 at circa
3* HEAVY HITTER on Phillies +1½ Taking the runs with Philadelphia in this spot is the smart move for Wednesday’s slate. The Phillies have been one of the best road teams in baseball all season. They rank near the top of the league in OPS when playing away from their home park. Boston’s pitching staff is showing some serious cracks lately. Their bullpen is heavily taxed after a long stretch of games without an off day. The Red Sox relievers have logged more innings than almost any other unit over the last week. That fatigue is going to show up in the late innings of a tight game. Philadelphia is sending a high-velocity right-hander to the mound who thrives on soft contact. His FIP is significantly lower than his ERA, which tells us he is due for some positive regression. The Red Sox hitters have struggled mightily against power righties this month. They have one of the highest strikeout rates in the American League against this specific profile. Philadelphia’s defense is another major factor in this handicap. They lead the league in defensive runs saved and rarely give away extra outs to the opposition. Boston has been a poor investment as a home favorite recently. They are struggling to cover the run line at Fenway Park when the expectations are high. The Phillies have plenty of motivation after a tough loss earlier in this series. They have a winning record following a loss this season and rarely let a slide continue. Getting a run and a half with a lineup this deep is a massive advantage. I expect this game to be a one-run battle or an outright win for the visitors. The data shows Boston’s recent success is fueled by an unsustainable BABIP. That luck is going to run out against a disciplined Philadelphia rotation. I like the Phillies +1.5 (-162)
Pick Released on May 13 at 08:09 am
MLB May 13 '26, 7:40 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
Royals vs White Sox Play on: White Sox +1½ -161 at circa
Play on: White Sox +1½ -161 at circa
5* NO BRAINER on White Sox +1½ The market is putting too much respect on the Royals simply because of their place in the standings.Kansas City has been a different team away from home and their offensive production drops significantly on the road. The White Sox have played their best baseball inside their own park this season.They have been particularly tough in divisional games where the familiarity keeps the score close. The Royals' starting pitcher enters this game with an ERA that masks some major underlying issues.His FIP is nearly a point higher than his actual ERA and his walk rate has spiked over his last three starts. Chicago's lineup does not strike out much at home and they will force the Royals to work deep into the count.This puts a lot of pressure on a Kansas City bullpen that is already showing signs of fatigue. The Royals used their primary setup man and closer in back-to-back games leading into this Wednesday matchup.If the White Sox keep this within a run late, the Royals may not have the arms to shut the door. The White Sox have covered the run line in six of their last eight games as a home underdog.Getting a run and a half with the home team in a divisional scrap is the right side of the number. Chicago’s recent hitting metrics against right-handed pitching have moved into the top half of the league.They have enough pop to capitalize on the mistake pitches the Royals' starter has been leaving over the plate lately. Bet White Sox +1.5 (-161)
Pick Released on May 13 at 08:03 am