Jimmy Boyd

4* NCAAF - Tech/Baylor Big 12 PLAY OF THE WEEK on Baylor -10 -110

This might seem like a big number for the Bears to be laying at home against Texas Tech, who just upset Oklahoma State as a double-digit home dog, but I think people are sleeping on this Baylor team. I don't see this game being close at all. 

Texas Tech really benefited from a sloppy Cowboys performance. Oklahoma State turned it over 5 times. Red Raiders defense had only forced 4 turnovers in their first 4 games. In their previous two games, both on the road, Tech was destroyed. They lost 55-16 at Oklahoma and 28-14 at Arizona. I think the Bears win here by 14+ easy. Take Baylor! 

3* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Temple +5½ -110

I see a ton of value here with Temple at this price. The Owls already have one home win as a home dog against Maryland. They were also a 5.5-point dog in that fight. Memphis is just getting a little too much love off their 5-0 start.

Their best win was against Ole Miss and they barely beat them. This will also be by far their toughest road game of 2019. Tigers are a mere 19-35 ATS in their last 54 as a favorite of -3.5 to -10. Owls are 16-6 ATS last 22 as a home dog of 3.5 to 7 points. Take Temple! 

3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Flames +131

Calgary is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Golden Knights Saturday. The Flames come in off a win and have been a consistent offensive force with exactly 3 runs in each of their first 4 games. 

Vegas on the other hand is riding a 2-game losing streak and are fresh off a game where they scored just 1 goal at Arizona. Flames are 15-4 in their last 19 road games when they come in having won 2 of 3. Take Calgary! 

1* Free NHL Pick on Vancouver Canucks -110

Great value here with the Canucks at basically a pick'em at home against the Flyers. Vancouver opened the season with back-to-back road losses, but got back on track with a 8-2 win over Los Angeles in their home opener. 

I look for the Canucks to bring that same energy on their home ice Saturday night. As for the Flyers, I think they could be running on empty in this one. Philadelphia open the season overseas in Prague, then returned to the U.S. to play their home opener and they won that 4-0 in a very spirited effort. Now they are back on the road for a 3-game trip that starts in Canada.

Just think it will be really hard for the Flyers to match the intensity of Vancouver in this one. I like the Canucks to win this one rather convincingly. Take Vancouver! 

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5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +145

I really like the value here with New York in Game 1 of the ALCS. Much different series for these two in the ALDS. The Yankees swept the Twins in convincing fashion. They won all 3 games by at least 4 runs and outscored Minnesota 23-7. Astros on the other hand were taken to a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Rays. 

I just think after all the emotion that comes with a winner-take-all matchup, there's got to be a bit of a letdown, especially given the Astros just played that Game 5 against Tampa Bay on Thursday. Let's also not ignore the horrible start by Houston's Zack Greinke in the ALDS, he gave up 6 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in 3 2/3 innings. Take New York! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under TOTAL PLAY OF THE WEEK on Miss State/Tennessee under 53 -102

All you need to know that there's value with the UNDER at this price is the fact that the UNDER is 14-4 in Mississippi State's last 18 conference games and the average combined score in these matchups is a mere 43.9 points. 

There's plenty of reason to believe these two will keep that trend rolling. In the Vols last two games they have scored a mere 14 points against Georgia and 3 against Florida. I know last time out the Bulldogs gave up 56 to Auburn, but they held Kentucky to just 13 the game before. Mississippi State is also coming off a bye, so they are going to be 100% locked into what the Vols are doing. 

Tennessee's defense has given up a lot of points the last two games, but Mississippi State is not a great offensive team. They don't have much of a passing game and Tennessee's defense is much better against the run than they are the pass. 

UNDER is also 21-7 in Bulldogs last 28 off a game where 70 or more total points were scored, 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in October. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Alabama/TX A&M SEC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Alabama -17 -104

I got no problem here laying the 17 on the road with Alabama. The Crimson Tide are a team on a mission and I just don't think the Aggies have the goods to keep this thing respectable. People will point to Texas A&M only losing to Clemson by 14-points on the road, but the Tigers haven't looked anywhere near as good as we thought they would. 

Then there's that ugly loss at home to Auburn, which now looks even worse after Auburn's 24-13 loss at Florida. Auburn went into College Station and won 28-20. Score makes it look like it was close, but Texas A&M trailed 21-3 going into the 4th quarter. 

Both games the Aggies offense really struggled to score and that's the big issue here. Alabama is going to score and score a lot. Alabama is averaging 51.8 ppg against teams that only give up 29.3 ppg. 

There's also the Nick Saban vs a former assistant at head coach. Fisher coached under Saban back at LSU. Saban is a perfect 17-0 SU against his former assistants and has won by an average score of 41.6 to 14.2. Take Alabama! 

3* NCAAF - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Georgia Tech/Duke under 49½ -110

UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Georgia Tech. For starters, the Yellow Jackets are atrocious on the offensive side of the ball. They are averaging a mere 15.2 ppg and 296 ypg. Last time they were on the road they scored just 2 points at Temple. 

Prior to giving up 33 to Pitt, Duke had held their previous 3 opponents under 20 points. It will be a struggle here for the Yellow Jackets just to get to 14 points. Duke's averaging 32.8 ppg, but I see them being up early and just eating up the clock with the run game. They got much bigger games on deck against Virginia and North Carolina. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the 20 games under head coach David Cutcliffe where his team is coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF -Situational ATS VEGAS INSIDER on Kentucky -6½ -110

I think this is the ideal spot to buy low and back the Wildcats laying less than a touchdown at home against the Razorbacks. Kentucky was the surprise team of the SEC last year, as they went 5-3 in the conference and 10-3 overall. THis year they are just 2-3 and coming into this game off 3 straight losses. 

The thing is, they lost at home to Florida by just 8 and had a 21-10 lead on the Gators in the 4th quarter. They then lost on the road to Miss State and South Carolina, which was to be expected. This feels like a make or break point in their season and I like Mark Stoops team to respond in a big way, especially coming off a bye week. 

All you need to know about the Razorbacks is they lost at home to San Jose STate 24-31 and that they have allowed 31+ points in every game against a FBS opponent. Note that Kentucky hasn't allowed more than 30 in a game this season. Also quarterback Nick Starkel, who took over the starting job from Ben Hicks is questionable to play. I look for the Wildcats to win comfortably. Take Kentucky! 

5* NCAAF - Vegas Underdog GAME OF THE YEAR on Purdue +3½ -105

I love Purdue getting a field goal and the hook at home against Maryland. No way should the Terps be favored on the road here. I get that Purdue is down their starting QB and star wide out Rondale Moore, but it's not like Maryland isn't down a few key players. Terps will be without their starting QB in Josh Jackson and will once again turn to Tyrrell Pigrome. 

Sure Pigrome has experienced, but there's a reason he's been a backup for four years. It's pretty big downgrade here from Jackson. The fact that Maryland is favored with him as the starter will only serve as more motivation for Jeff Brohm's team. Purdue is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home dog. 

Maryland comes in off a 48-7 blowout win over Rutgers. Based on what we have seen from the Scarlet Knights this season, I'm not sure why everyone is so excited about that win. This is still the same team that lost 20-17 on the road to Temple and managed just 128 total yards in a 59-0 loss at home to Penn State.  

Keep in mind Maryland followed a 63-20 blowout win over Syracuse with that upset loss at Temple and are just 4-15 ATS in their last 21 off a conference win by 21 or more points. Take Purdue!