Jim Feist

Baltimore should be able to cover Thursday night vs Jacksonville with the line sitting around 10 points at home. They've lost their last 3 games so it could be a good spot for them to play competitive against a Jacksonville team that came out of a 42-7 win over Indianapolis. They will be without Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley so rookie Joe Fagnano will be making his first start in the NFL. Since they already adjusted the line drastically we may be able to get some value on the home team here. Baltimore should run the ball a lot with Derrick Henry and be able to control the clock and keep the Jaguars offense off the field. Jacksonville has the #1 rushing defense but they will be without DT Davon Hamilton which could open things up a bit up front. They have some great defenders that can cause turnovers on defense with Roquan Smith and Kyle Hamilton. As long as Baltimore can take care of their young QB and not give up too many turnovers they should have a chance to keep this game within this number going into the 4th quarter. Jacksonville is a good team to be favored but I think they are asking too much for them to cover by that many on the road on short weeks. Jim's Play: 312. Ravens

The over in this college football game for Thursday is driven by James Madison's offense against a Southern Miss defense that can't stop the run. The Dukes average 39.1 points per game, ninth in the FBS, and 450.9 yards per game, with the No. 23 rushing offense at 202 yards per game, while Southern Miss allows 223.4 rushing yards per game, 136th in college football, and 31 points per game. George Pettaway leads the Sun Belt with 824 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, and quarterback Camden Coleman has thrown for 1,742 yards with 16 touchdowns against four interceptions. Southern Miss should contribute its share too: the Golden Eagles have scored 35 points in each of their last two wins, including 35-21 at ULM, and they average 26.9 points per game on the season. James Madison is also in a bounce-back spot after starting 7-0 and then losing two straight, so expect a focused, high-tempo effort rather than a conservative road game.  Jim's Play: 315. James Madison / SO. Miss Over

Thursday night, Jacksonville at Baltimore, in Bank Stadium on Prime Video. The under starts with Baltimore's quarterback situation. Lamar Jackson is on injured reserve after thumb surgery, Tyler Huntley is out with turf toe, and rookie Joe Fagnano is expected to start after going 10-of-21 for 91 yards with an interception and three sacks against Buffalo, while managing an ankle injury himself. Jacksonville's defense has held six of seven opponents to 20 or fewer points, and in its five wins opponents have averaged just 11.4 points per game. Baltimore will lean on Derrick Henry, but Jacksonville's run defense allows a league-best 77.4 yards per game and hasn't allowed a 75-yard rusher in 24 straight games, so that should be a grinding, clock-chewing approach rather than quick strikes. Jacksonville can score, Trevor Lawrence has 17 touchdowns against four interceptions, but on a short week on the road, with Jakobi Meyers questionable and running backs Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez Jr. also questionable, this profiles as a methodical win rather than a repeat of the 42-7 Colts blowout.  Despite the big line move I'll be on the under in tonight's game. Jim's Play: 311. Jags/Ravens Under