Art Aronson

This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND +1.5

Don't be fooled by the Indians losing 9-2 to the Mets on Tuesday. An embarrassing error (aren't they all?) in the outfield turned out to open the flood gates for Mets in the sixth innings and they took complete advantage. With the game tied 2-2, Cleveland's Oscar Mercado dropped a fly ball. The next at-bat saw Michael Conforto homer and from there, the Mets would tack on five more runs. Who knows how last night's game would have turned out had Mercado simply made the routine play. It's water under the bridge now, but don't expect Cleveland to forget easily. We can't endorse the Mets going from underdogs last night to favorites here as the price change simply doesn't make sense to us. Marcus Stroman has a 3-0 TSR for the Mets, but his ERA and WHIP in those three starts are 5.17 and 1.85. So it's not like Stroman has pitched well for his new team. Here's a tidbit for you: the Indians have not lost consecutive games by multiple runs this month. With Adam Plutko on the mound Wednesday night, look for that streak to continue as the Tribe either win or lose by just a single run. The offense was just 1 for 10 with runners in scoring position last night and should fare better in that situation tonight as well. Play CLEVELAND (+1.5) on the RUN LINE

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Twins can scored with the best of 'em, but they failed to do so Monday night in a surprising 6-4 loss to the White Sox. You'd expect them to bounce back Tuesday, but in Wednesday's early game they are going to have to contend with Chicago's best pitcher. That would be Lucas Giolito. The White Sox may not be a good team, but they are 15-9 this year when Giolito pitches. Though his last start vs. the Twins was not good, we expect Giolito to pitch well here. Back in May, he threw five shutout innings against the Twins, holding them to one hit. While keeping the Twins offense in check might be easier said than done (we still expect Giolito to do so!), Jake Odorizzi should have no such difficulty with the anemic White Sox. Odorizzi's last three starts have all brought victory for the Twins as well as a 3-0 mark with Unders. Odorizzi has faced Chicago only once this year and he held them scoreless for 5 1/3 innings, allowing just one hit (sound familiar?). The Under is 13-3-1 in Odorizzi's last 17 starts vs. the AL Central. It is 13-6 in Giolito's last 19 starts overall. Play UNDER on White Sox/Twins

AAA

This is an 8* play on CINCINNATI

It has to be frustrating for the Reds to have given up so few runs this year, yet still have a losing record. Case in point, they lost the series opener to the Padres by a score of 3-2 despite allowing only five hits. That game ended with the Reds having the bases loaded. Alas, they'll hope for better luck Tuesday. No matter how that game goes though, we like the home team to win on Getaway Day here at Great American Ballpark. They'll have Luis Castillo on the hill and his 0.99 home WHIP (16 starts) is certainly good enough for us. San Diego's Chris Paddack has really struggled after a strong start to his big league career. Paddack's last three starts have seen him allow 14 runs in 14 2/3 innings of work. The Padres came into Tuesday having won four of five, but this remains a flawed team with significant holes. They are 1-7 the last 8 games where they faced a starting pitcher that had a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Just in case it applies, keep in mind that the Reds are 4-1 the last five times they've dropped the first two games of a series. Play on CINCINNATI

AAA