Brandon Lee

FREE PICK: Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 751

This feels like a great buy-low and sell-high spot with Alabama coming in off back-to-back losses and Mississippi State having won 5 of 6 and fresh off a big cover at home against Georgia. I just don't think the Bulldogs are on the same level as the Crimson Tide and we are going to get a very motivated and pissed off Alabama team. 

The Crimson Tide have some head scratching losses, but they also have wins over Gonzaga, Houston, Tennessee, Florida and Miami. I got to believe they will be 100% invested in this one. 

As for Mississippi State, they are 11-4, but a lot of that is schedule. The Bulldogs only two wins vs teams ranked in the Top 100 at KenPom are against No. 45 Arkansas and No. 97 Richmond. They also aren't just losing to top tier teams. Their 4 losses are to Louisville (No. 87), Minnesota (No. 77), Colorado St (No. 49) and Ole Miss (No. 100). Alabama is ranked No. 17. This is a clear-step up in competition and I don't think they have any business being favored here. Give me the Crimson Tide +1.5! 

***SPECIAL OFFER - 7 PICKS FOR $50*** Brandon Lee can't wait to exploit the books for another huge profit tonight!

Don't miss out on your chance to cash in big with Lee's Saturday All-Sports 7-Pack (1 NFL, 2 NBA, 4 CBB)!

       **In Depth Analysis Included With Each Pick**

You are GUARANTEED TO PROFIT or you will get Lee's next card for FREE!

40* (CBB) Smart Money ATS ANNIHILATOR (Florida St +2.5) 

I will take the 2.5-points with Florida State at Syracuse. The Seminoles have looked a lot more like the team we expected to see from the start of the season. They got a chance to prove it in this game, as they take on a Orange team that beat them on their home floor 63-60 back in early Dec. 

Since Hamilton took over at FSU, the Seminoles are 42-27 (61%) ATS when revenging a same season loss. Syracuse is definitely a team they should be able to beat if they are a real contender in the ACC. Syracuse has lost 5 of their last 8 with their only wins coming against Brown, Cornell and Pitt. Give me the Seminoles +2.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (TCU +1.5) 

I love TCU as a 1.5-point home dog against the Sooners. The Horned Frogs are off to a 11-2 start but aren't getting a ton of press because of the schedule not being all that challenging. I think it has people sleeping on Jamie Dixon's team. They have an impressive win over Texas A&M on a neutral and really played Baylor well for a half. I also think it says a lot for them to respond to that loss against Bears by going on the road and beating K-State. 

TCU is no easy place to play and this feels like a tough spot for Oklahoma, who just played 3 games against Baylor, ISU and Texas and have Kansas on deck Tuesday and a rematch with Baylor next Saturday. I just don't think the Sooners have done enough to be road dogs here. Give me TCU +1.5! 

40* (CBB) Blockbuster Bookie DESTROYER (Iowa St +2.5)

I will gladly take the Cyclones as a home dog against the Longhorns on Saturday. Really big game here for Iowa State, who after back-to-back road losses to Oklahoma and Kansas, are now 1-3 in Big 12 play. I've actually been impressed with the Cyclones. They only lost by 5 to Baylor at home and by just 1 at Kansas. The lone win coming against a Texas Tech team that has looked like the best team in the league since that loss with wins over KU, Baylor and Oklahoma St. 

Texas is 13-3 and fresh off a blowout win at home over Oklahoma. I just don't trust this team on the road. The previous game they lost 51-64 at Oklahoma State. Their only true road win all season is against K-State. I just think with how tough it is to win on the road in the Big 12 and how desperate ISU going to be, the wrong team is favored. Give me the Cyclones +2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Undervalued Underdog ATS SHOCKER (Oklahoma St +14.5) 

I got to roll the dice with Oklahoma State catching 14.5-points on the road against Baylor. The Bears are a really good team, but I think having that target on their back and getting the best shot from every team they play is really starting to wear on this team. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and the one game they covered they needed to outscore TCU by 18 in the 2nd half to win by 12 as a 10-point favorite. 

As bad as the Cowboys looked last time out against Texas Tech, I just think you got to take your chances playing against Baylor right now. Bears are going to cover these big numbers every once in awhile, but I think in the long run the money will clearly be on fading the defending champs. Give me Oklahoma State +14.5! 

40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Knicks +2.5) 

I will take my chances with the Knicks as a slim road dog against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a bad place right now. They just traded away Reddish and sounds like more guys are on the move. They come in having lost 4 straight and will be on no rest after last night's 118-124 loss to Miami, where they got outscored 30-19 in the 4th quarter. 

Big rest advantage for the Knicks, who have been off since Wednesday. New York has also been on the upswing here of late, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Knicks have already won the two previous meetings with the Hawks and I don't see them showing any remorse for the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Give me the Knicks +2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with Portland catching 7.5 on the road against a Wizards team that is without Beal. Blazers come in off an ugly 108-140 loss at the Nuggets on Thursday, but that was to be expected. Portland who is already without Lillard and McCollum, had to play without Anfernee Simons, who has been putting up All-Star caliber numbers since Lillard went down. He's back from his personal matter and I not only think the Blazers have enough here to keep it within the number, I like them to win this game outright. Wizards have won 3 straight, but it's come against the Magic, Thunder and Magic and they failed to cover all 3. Give me the Blazers +7.5!

40* (NFL) - Wild Card Saturday VEGAS INSIDER (Under 48.5) 

These two teams combined for just 45 points in their meeting during the regular season and they were lucky to get to that number. It was a 13-6 game going into the 4th quarter and 16-13 with just over 5 minutes to play. Neither team managed to eclipse 300 yards of total offense. Bengals had just 288 and the Raiders had 278. 

While both of these teams have quarterbacks who can throw the ball and some guys who can go get it, the problem is both of these offensive lines aren't very good. The defensive lines for both of these teams should dominate this game. Mother Nature also figures to play a role in keeping it a little lower scoring with temps expected to be below freezing and a slight cross wind. Give me the UNDER 48.5!