Brandon Lee

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

We cashed the UNDER 7.5 in Game 1 of this series on Monday and I see more of the same value with the UNDER 8 in Game 2. I know the numbers aren't great for today's two starters Rich Hill and Brad Keller, but it's just a matter of time before Hill gets on track and Keller is coming off a great start at home against the Angels, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. 

The even bigger factor here is the weather. While we won't have 15 mph winds blowing straight in from left like we did yesterday, it won't be blowing out tonight and the temps are expected to start in the high 40s and end in the low 40s. It's just far from ideal conditions for scoring runs. Give me the UNDER 8! 

FREE PICK - Milwaukee Brewers +106 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 909

I will gladly take a shot here with the Brewers at basically even money on the road against the Padres. Milwaukee won the series opener 3-1 on Monday. San Diego only managed 2 hits in the contest and you have to wonder if the Padres aren't suffering a bit of a hangover here after their big 3-game series against the Dodgers this past weekend. 

Either way, this is an exceptional price to back maybe the best starter so far in 2021. Milwaukee's Corbin Burns has made 3 starts and has allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 0 walks and a ridiculous 30 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings of work. 

On the flip side of this, the Padres will turn to Chris Paddack, who just hasn't been able to regain that elite form that he showed as a rookie in 2019 when he posted a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 26 starts. He managed just a 4.73 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 12 starts last year. He's got a 4.15 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in 3 starts this year and that's with him yet to give up a long ball. Give me the Brewers +106! 

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40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Phillies -148) 

We played and won with the Giants in Monday's series opener and now we fire back in Game 2 with the Phillies. Big reason I played SF yesterday was starter Kevin Gausman. This time it's Philadelphia who has the edge on the mound with Zach Wheeler going up against Logan Webb. 

Wheeler has had to grind it out in his last two starts on the road, but I think that has him a bit undervalued here at home. He went 7 scoreless in his only home start of 2021 and struckout 10 in the process. He should have no problem keeping this Giants offense in check. 

As for Webb, he's got a 5.23 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in his first 2 starts. He's also faced the Rockies at home and the Mariners on the road. I could see him really struggling here to keep pace with Wheeler. Give me the Phillies -148! 

50* (NBA) - Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 237.5) 

I love the OVER 237.5 in Tuesday's game between the Timberwolves and Kings. I just don't see any defense being played between these two Western Conference bottom feeders. Neither plays much defense as it is. Both certainly haven't been playing much of late, as Minnesota is giving up 121.8 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5, while Sacramento has allowed 119.4 ppg on 51% shooting in their last 5. 

Key here is that both of these teams can score. I don't think it will take much for both of these teams to reach 120 points. Also, I think the fact that these two are scheduled to turn around and play each other again in Sacramento tomorrow night, gives that much more incentive to not try defensively in this first meeting. Give me the OVER 237.5!