Ross Benjamin

Milwaukee (Davies) @ Kansas City 8:15 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Milwaukee -130 (5*)

Kansas City is coming off an 8-5 win in their previous game and it was just their 5th victory of the season. Furthermore, the Royals are 0-4 in 2018 following a win. Additionally, Kansas City is 1-7 at home in 2018 and an awful 1-10 versus right-handed starting pitchers like they’ll face tonight. The Royals bullpen has been atrocious and especially of late. Kansas City relievers have a cumulative ERA this season of 7.85 and an even worse 11.51 ERA during through their last 7 games.

Milwaukee enters today riding a 6-game winning streak. During their last 7 games, Brewers relievers have a stellar combined 2.55 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. During that identical 7-game stretch Milwaukee hitters have compiled an impressive .812 OPS. Bey on Milwaukee for a 5* money line wager.

Oakland (Triggs) @ Texas (Hamels) 8:05 ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Oakland -110 (10*)

Texas is an abysmal 3-11 at home this season. The Rangers bullpen has been atrocious throughout their last 7 games evidenced by a staff 7.89 ERA and 1.94 WHIP. Cole Hamels has made 6 starts against Oakland since 2016 and compiled a lofty 5.34 ERA.

Andrew Triggs has made 3 career starts versus Texas and all those occurred since 2016. During those 4 outings Triggs posted a superb 1.08 ERA and 0.66 WHIP during those 3 outings. Triggs was facing more formidable Texas batting outing in those past starts compared to the one he’ll go against tonight. Oakland enters this AL West series on a 7-1 roll during its last 8 games. The A’s have been ripping the cover off the ball of late and their bullpen has performed solidly since the season’s inception. Bet on Oakland for a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Miami @ Philadelphia 8:05 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Philadelphia -10.0 (5*)

This is one of those rare instances in which I’ll lay a double-digit number in a NBA game, and let alone when it’s a playoff contest. Considering Miami has gone 3-1 ATS and 2-2 straight up in their games at Philadelphia this season, the 10.0-point spread would seem to be a very hefty number to afford the underdog Heat. However, I’m here to tell you that the sportsbooks are never generous and often masters of deception.

Philadelphia has seen each of their previous 4 games result in both teams scoring 100 points or more. Miami enters today averaging 103.6 points scored per game this season. The previously mention data sets up a profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any favorite of 10.0-points or more (76ers) which is coming off 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Heat) who averages 103 points or more scored per contest, resulted in those double-digit favorites going 31-16 ATS (66%) since 1996. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Milwaukee @ Boston 7:05 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Over 202.5 (10*)

There’s times it’s best not to overthink or overanalyze a betting situation. This qualifies as one of those occurrences. Milwaukee has gone 19-2 (90.5%) over the total during its last 21 games played. That includes going over the number in all 4 games of this NBA Eastern Conference Playoff series. Those 21 contests have produced a combined 224.4 points scored per game. Furthermore, Milwaukee has gone over the total in their previous 6 games played against Boston this season. The average total in those 6 contests was 204.0 and there were a combined 212.2 points scored per game. During the first 4 games of this series, Milwaukee is shooting a sizzling hot 54.2% while connecting on an excellent 43.6% of its 3-point attempts.

Boston has seen each of their previous 8 games go over the total. The average total in those 8 contests was 204.0 and there were 214.3 points scored per game. During that stretch, Boston has been lackluster defensively while allowing opponents to shoot 50.2% in addition to making 41.9% of its 3-point tries. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.