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Red Sox (Hill) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET
Game# 969-970
Play On: Red Sox +150 (5*)
This appears to be a starting pitching mismatch when just looking at the raw statistical data for this season. However, after careful examination I found those numbers to be deceiving. Yes, Lucas Giolito has been excellent thus far in 2022. Nonetheless, he’s made 3 starts versus Boston since 2019 with a horrible 10.03 ERA and 2.49 WHIP. Based on that size of a WHIP, Giolito is fortunate that his ERA isn’t much worse than it was. The White Sox bullpen hasn’t been good at home while recording a staff 5.78 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
Boston has won 6 in a row while averaging 9.0 runs and 11.5 hits per game. Additionally, Boston has an extremely impressive team PPS of .990 throughout its last 7 games and hit 17 home runs during that span. Rich Hill has been solid in his last 3 road starts this season with a 1.29 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with an 1.74 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Give me the Red Sox on the money line.
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET
Game# 501-502
Play On: Miami +2.5 (10*)
Miami is coming off a terrible performance in Game 4 at Boston on Monday which resulted in a 102-82 blowout loss. However, the Heat have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home following a loss and won by a massive average of 27.3 points per game. Despite that lopsided loss, Miami still held Boston to just 39% shooting. Miami is 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 following a game in which they held their opponent to less than 40% shooting and won by an average of 15.0 points per game. Furthermore, the Heat have gone 20-1 SU this season following a game in which there was a combined 205 points or less scored. Lastly, Boston has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win and all those contests took place in the playoffs. Give me the Heat plus the small number for a Top Play wager.
