Ross Benjamin

Brooklyn @ New Orleans 7:35 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: New Orleans -2.5 (10*)

Brooklyn will once again be without the services of James Harden. The Nets will also be without Kevin Durant who went out with a thigh injury in the 1st quarter of their previous game and did not return. Thus, the reason for Brooklyn being a road underdog against an opponent that has lost 3 straight contests. Despite going 2-3 in their last 5 games, the Nets still have an outstanding 38-19 season record.

New Orleans will be out to revenge an embarrassing 139-111 loss at Brooklyn just 13 days ago. The Pelicans are coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite at Washington and New York. Those defeats dropped their season record to 25-32 (.439).

Since the 1992-1993 NBA season began, any home favorite (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .400 or better that’s coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite, and they’re playing with same season revenge stemming form a loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS. The home teams won those 15 contests by a decisive margin of 14.5 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Milwaukee (Burnes) @ San Diego (Paddack) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Milwaukee +107 (5*)

The Padres are capable of being an explosive offensive team. However, over their last 3 games they have combined to score just 6 runs and amass only 12 hits. Things won’t get any easier tonight when facing they face Corbin Burnes of Milwaukee. The Brewers righthander has made 3 starts this year and recorded a microscopic 0.49 ERA, 0.22 WHIP, and struck out 30 batters in 18 1/3 innings pitched. That’s not good news for a Padres team which has gone 1-10 since 2019 when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.40 or better. Additionally, since the start of last season, Milwaukee has gone an extremely profitable 12-5 and a money line road underdog of +100 to +150. Bet on Milwaukee for a 5* money line wager.

Toronto (Ryu) @ Boston (Rodriguez) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Boston -110 (5*)

Since the 2018 season began, Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez has gone 4-0 in his home team starts against Toronto with a 1.85 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. Furthermore, since the 2019 season, Rodriguez is a perfect 14-0 in his team starts as a home favorite of -110 or greater. The Boston lefthander is also 16-1 in his team starts since 2019 when facing an opponent who has a losing record. During their previous 7 games, the Red Sox bullpen has an outstanding 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Toronto enters today with a poor team on-base-percentage of .289. The Blue Jays are coming off 3-2 and 2-0 loss at Kansas City in their previous 2 games. Since 2017, any home team (Boston) with a money line of -135 to +115 that is facing an American League opponent (Toronto) with a team OBP of .310 or worse, and they (Toronto) are coming off back-to-back games in which they scored 2 runs or less, resulted in those home teams going 42-11 (79.2%). Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager.

Arizona (Gallen) @ Cincinnati (Castillo) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Cincinnati -138 (5*)

The current Arizona roster has gone 7-43 (.163) in their careers when facing today’s Red starter Luis Castillo. The current total in this matchup is 7.5. Since the start of last season, Arizona is a dismal 4-19 in away games when there was a total of 7.5 to 8.5.

The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 at home and their only loss in that stretch came against Shane Bieber of Cleveland on Sunday. As a matter of fact, dating back to last season, the Reds are 15-4 in their last 19 home games. The Reds have a stellar .298 team batting average, averaged 8.1 runs scored per game, and smacked 24 home runs in just 9 home games this season. Bet on Cincinnati for a 5* money line wager.