Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Dolphins vs Raiders Free Pick September 26, 2021

This looks like a good time to fade the Raiders as they are overhyped and overvalued by the betting market after starting the season 2-0 SU and ATS. They've won both games outright as underdogs (Baltimore at home, Pittsburgh away) which sets up a potential flat spot against a Miami team that got humiliated in a 35-0 loss to Buffalo last week.

Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa is placed on IR, but backup Jacoby Brissett has plenty of experience. I think this will be a lot closer than most would expect. 

Dolphins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Dolphins are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Free pick on Miami Dolphins.

Mike Lundin is 6-2 (75%) L8 NFL TOP PLAYS! His 5-game NFL high roller report features a MAJOR WAGER ALERT; Mike's 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) and four more NFL picks, including a total on the marquee matchup LA Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. All games go Sunday, and the first two kick off EARLY with 1 PM ET starts. 

BUCS @ RAMS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bucs are averaging a league-leading 39.5 points per game and the Rams rank fifth with 30.5 ppg, but I think the total for this game is set too high. Tampa Bay has been able to run up the score against Dallas and Atlanta, but this Rams defense is something different than they've faced so far. QB Tom Brady will be under heavy pressure by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey and the Bucs' running game has not been much of a threat. 

8* play on UNDER. 

BENGALS @ STEELERS SIDE

The Steelers season has been an early rollercoaster after first winning on the road at Buffalo in Week 1 followed by a disappointing home loss to the Raiders. I expect Pittsburgh to snap back here against a Cincinnati team they have owned in recent years.

Steelers' QB Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a pec injury, but I expect him to do everything he can to suit up against a Bengals team he has a 24-8 career record against. We should see a big game from the home team after coming out flat in its home opener last week. 

8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

COLTS @ TITANS SIDE

The Colts are going on the road in search of their first win of the season following home losses to Seattle and LA Rams. QB Carson Wentz (ankle sprain) might miss the game, but I expect to see a reaction and plenty of desperation to avoid starting the season with three straight losses.

As for the home team, the Titans are coming off a dramatic 33-30 overtime victory last week at Seattle. While they have a win to their name, their defense has been an issue with 400+ yards of total offense allowed per game and they have injury concerns in their secondary. 

Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Colts are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 meetings. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

8* play on Indianapolis Colts. 

FALCONS @ GIANTS SIDE

This contest will feature two desperate 0-2 teams looking to avoid starting the season 0-3, but I think the value is on the visiting team as an underdog.

The Falcons have been humiliated in both of their first two games, getting outscored by 20+ points in each game. They put 25 points on the board and stood up fairly well at Tampa Bay last time out though, at least until giving up 20 unanswered points in the fourth quarter.

The Falcons offense is starting to click, and I think they'll give the Giants a fight. The team with the ball in its hand last is likely to win the game? Give me the points. Give me Atlanta. 

8* play 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game.

Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). 

Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

10* play on Minnesota Vikings.