Matt Fargo

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Drake is coming off a 31-4 season and made it to the second round of the NCAA Tournament but things have changed. The Bulldogs are breaking in a new head coach with Eric Henderson taking over for Ben McCollum who left for Iowa and took a handful of his players with him so it is a rebuild. It was a rebuild last season as well and it was a very successful season and there is no reason to think it cannot happen again. Drake already has half of the losses from last season but both defeats were by only two points. LSU had a miserable season last year and is picked to finish No. 13 in the 16-team SEC. Head coach Mike McMahon is on the hotseat and while this is his most talented team in his four years here, it will take time and the past editions had talent as well but he finished with just 45 wins in his first three years. The Tigers are 5-0 but this is the first time they have left Baton Rouge and the schedule they have played is ranked No. 352, being favored between 15 and 21 points in four games and 32.5 points in the fifth. 10* (663) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CBB Contrarian Crusher. Ohio St. is off to a 6-0 start but it could not have been a more advantageous schedule to get them to this point as the Buckeyes have played all six games at home and their schedule is ranked No. 359 out of 365 teams. They were favored by at least 23 points in five of those six games with the other game coming in as a 10-point chalk against Notre Dame which they won by only one point. They now come in as a road favorite which is a good sell high spot as this is not an upper level Big Ten Conference team as they are projected to finish in the bottom half. It has been an interesting start for Pittsburgh and interesting could be putting it kindly. The Panthers are 4-3 but those three losses came in their last four games, two of those on the road at West Virginia in the Backyard Brawl and at Central Florida. The most recent loss was here at Petersen Events Center to Quinnipiac by eight points as a 12.5-point favorite. This is also playing with the number and Pittsburgh will be fully focused having five days to stew over that loss. 10* (630) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS for our Friday Free Play. We used Stanford in this spot on Thursday as it was able to sneak out the cover against Minnesota. That was more of a bet against the Gophers which are just not a good team that were in a bad travel spot with the recent results trending down. It was also a good travel spot for the Cardinal which had to travel only seven hours down to Palm Springs but that is now negated with both teams being here. Stanford won despite getting outshot 51 percent to 37 percent but they relied on Ebuka Okorie who scored 25 points and is fourth in the country in scoring. Additionally, Stanford dominated the glass on both ends but now they will be facing the best frontcourt in the Atlantic Ten Conference. St. Louis snuck out a one point win over a very good Santa Clara team as the Billikens scored the game winning layup with eight seconds left and the Broncos missed with three seconds left. St. Louis improved to 6-0 and while the schedule has been pretty tame, it has been more difficult than that of the Cardinal and this team is projected to win the A-10. The Billikens are balanced with four players averaging between 11.3 and 12.8 ppg and most important here, a huge edge in free throw shooting where they are No. 5 in the country at 80.4 percent. Play (657) St. Louis Billikens 

Fargo is on a 33-29-1 NFL Run. NFL +$14,840 L3+ Regular Seasons and +$73,260 run over the last 13 years. Black Friday Winner. CBB 39-28 Run and Feast Week continues on Friday with a HUGE card. THREE CFB Black Friday Winners.

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CBB Afternoon Annihilator. TCU forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off those takeaways to help with an 84-80 victory over Florida in the Rady Children's Invitational semifinal on Thursday. The Gators lost mainly because of that as TCU was just 4-17 from long range but Florida was only 8-29 and they will show no mercy in this consolation game. The Gators have not looked close to the same team that won the National Championship and came in as the preseason No. 1 according to Blue Ribbon. They are 4-2 while going only 1-5 against the number and this is the smash spot despite being on a neutral floor. Providence is now 4-3 following a 104-83 loss against Wisconsin allowing the Badgers to score their highest point total of the season. The Friars are not good as they have gone 3-0 at home against cupcakes and are 1-2 outside of Providence with the only win right down the highway at Mohegan Sun against Penn St. and the other loss at Colorado by nine points. They won only 12 games last season and do not look better and this one should get ugly. 10* (666) Florida Gators

This is a place on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CBB Afternoon Enforcer. Arkansas St. is hosting the Arkansas State Thanksgiving MTE over a span of five days in what is another spaced out confusing tournament. The Red Wolves hosted Jacksonville St. and defeated the Gamecocks 74-63 on Monday while North Dakota St. beat Jasonville St. by 13 points on Wednesday to make it five straight wins for the Bison. They are going to be popular based on that and the fact they have covered all three lined games over that span but two of those were at home and the run includes a pair of non-Division I wins. This is a tough spot as North Dakota St. has lost both of its true road games. The Red Wolves are now 4-3 and the recent win was only their second home game of the season where they are now 2-0. Arkansas St. has played five true road games and has gone 2-3 with two of those losses coming against St. Mary’s and SMU which are a combined 15-0. The Red Wolves finished in a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt Conference last season and are projected to win it this season. 10* (620) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Afternoon Underdog. This is the first meeting between Wright St. and Butler when they were rivals in the Horizon League and we are catching a ton of value. Butler is off to a 5-1 start with those five wins already one-third of its win total from all of last season and it is laying a big number from its most recent games. The Bulldogs are coming off the Greenbrier Tip-Off championship where they defeated South Carolina and Virginia so there is the letdown from that and the markets had to inflate the number because they are now a perfect 6-0 ATS on the season and this is the time to sell high and fade and no one will be at this game. Wright St. is off to a 4-3 start following two straight wins and overall it has won two games away from home with the lone away loss coming at California by 10 points as the Raiders covered the number that was actually fewer than it is today. Wright St. was picked to finish seventh in the Horizon league as it returned six players from a season ago and brought in four new transfers along with three freshmen. 10* (615) Wright St. Raiders

This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Illinois and Connecticut meet for the first time since the 2024 Elite Eight when the Huskies broke the game open with a 30-0 run and while the revenge narrative can be talked about, these rosters are all different so it matters none. The Huskies lost their first game of the season nine days ago at home against Arizona but did bounce back with a blowout of Bryant to regain some confidence. The big part of this play is that center Tarris Reed, Jr., who is averaging 20 ppg and has missed the last two games, and guard Braylon Mullins, the preseason Big East Freshman of the Year who has yet to play this season, both were full participants in practice on Thursday and look to be ready to go. Illinois is 6-1 with five of those wins coming against teams where it was favored by at least 28 points and it split the two games against excellent opposition, defeating Texas Tech by four at home and losing to Alabama by four at the United Center in Chicago. This is the first trip outside of Illinois. 10* (606) Connecticut Huskies

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Black Friday Enforcer. The Eagles are coming off a devastating loss against the Cowboys in Week 12 as they blew a 21-0 lead only to lose 24-21 to fall to 8-3. They still have a firm grip on the NFC East with a 2.5-game lead, it is the overall NFC where that loss hurts as Philadelphia is now a game behind the Rams for the top spot in the conference. Additionally, the Eagles are now tied with the Bears for No. 2 so a win here essentially gives them a two-game lead over Chicago when adding in the head-to-head victory. The Eagles have won and covered 10 straight games following a divisional game. The Bears continue to win as they defeated the Steelers last week by a field goal, their sixth win by five points or fewer with those six wins coming by an average of 2.7 ppg. This is the reason Chicago sits atop the Luck Ratings and we saw something similar with the Vikings a couple years ago. The schedule has a lot to do with why these teams have identical records as the Eagles have played the No. 3 ranked schedule while the Bears have played the No. 30 ranked slate in the league. Here, we play on teams off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 2021. 10* (314) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CFB Black Friday Enforcer Winner. The Mountain West Conference is very much still up for grabs and both of these teams are right in the mix with two other teams also in contention. San Diego St. was picked near the bottom of the conference but has gone 6-1 and controls its destiny to go to the championship game. Behind a stout defense, the Aztecs are No. 3 in Adjusted EPA and they have allowed single digits in points in four of their last five games and seven times this season but only two against winning teams, California which just fired their coach and Boise St., who was without its starting quarterback. New Mexico is 5-2 in the conference as it has won five straight games following a 0-2 start against Boise St. and San Jose St. with its only other loss coming at Michigan by 17 points. The scenario for the Lobos is simple as they need a win and need a loss by Boise St. which plays a half hour later. Here, we play against road teams after two or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 2016. 10* (332) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CFB Black Friday Ultimate Underdog Georgia Tech got screwed out of a true home game in this series after these teams have alternated home fields in 118 meetings making this the first neutral site game in the history of the series. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a bad loss against Pittsburgh as they lost the turnover battle 2-0 and they eliminated them from title contention based on tiebreakers. The offense got handcuffed last week but they are still in the top ten in yppl and can give this Georgia defense problems. The Bulldogs are on their way to another CFP appearance as they have now won seven straight games to close out with a 7-1 record in the SEC. Georgia can still get to the SEC Championship with a win here but it will need Alabama to lose as it owns the tiebreaker over Mississippi should the Rebels defeat Mississippi St. in the Egg Bowl. They are overpriced as they have dropped three straight ATS in this series. Here, we play against neutral field favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (330) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CFB Black Friday Rivalry Smash. Arizona St. still has slim hope for a repeat Big 12 Championship appearance as it needs a win against Arizona and a BYU loss to UCF. In that case, the Sun Devils would own the tiebreaker against BYU (and Utah, in a three-team tie) due to their record against common conference opponents. The Sun Devils have won three straight games, all of those with Jeff Sims at quarterback after taking over for Sam Leavitt who is out for the season. Arizona is playing excellent as well as it has won four straight games after starting 1-3 in the Big 12 Conference but has no shot at the championship game so this is just about pride in the Duel in the Desert rivalry and especially from last season. Arizona will be out for revenge after a 49-7 loss against the Sun Devils in Tucson last season but we want no part of road revenge in a scenario of two teams with identical overall 8-3 records. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 89-45 ATS (66.4 percent) since 2016. 10* (326) Arizona St. Sun Devils