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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates vs Reds | Pirates +119 | Free | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our Monday Free Play. The Pirates lost two of three against the Mets as the bounced back from the Paul Skenes debacle and an extra innings loss on Saturday with a 4-3 extra inning win on Sunday Braxton Ashcraft gets the ball on Monday coming off a season where he posted a 2.71 ERA and 1.25 WHIP overall splitting time in the bullpen and then making eight starts to close the season where he had a 2.16 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. There is negative regression expected which is inevitable from those numbers but it is not expected to be a huge regression. For the first time in his professional career, Ashcraft completed a fully healthy offseason focused on strength and conditioning rather than rehab. He had 16 strikeouts and just one walk in the spring. Chase Burns goes for the Reds and he is a breakout candidate this season as he does have elite stuff but he is overpriced in what should be closer to an even money matchup. Play (903) Pittsburgh PiratesIt was a 3-1 Sunday overall. NCAA Tournament 16-8. NBA 62-48-1 Run. MLB TWO Winners. Matt was at the top of the boards in MLB last season! EARLY BIRD MLB available. Inclusive Package gets all plays in all sports. | ||||||
| Celtics vs Hawks | Hawks -1½ -110 | Top Premium | 102-112 | Win | 100 | |
| This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Atlanta had won 14 of 15 games before going to Boston last week and after opening up with a 24-9 lead, the Hawks eventually let it all go and lost 109-102 and there was a 27-point swing involved in there. The Hawks have overtaken the Magic in the Southeast Division as they have a 2.5-game lead after Orlando lost by 52-points and they are currently in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is back home for some revenge where it is just 22-16 but has won 11 straight games and overall on the season, the Hawks are 13-2 following a double-digit home win. Boston has won three straight games that included a home win over Oklahoma City prior to the Hawks victory and the Celtics are coming off a 15-point win at Charlotte yesterday. It is a short sample size but Boston is 0-2 ATS on the road following a road win as an underdog. 10* (560) Atlanta Hawks | ||||||
| Guardians vs Dodgers | Guardians +175 | Top Premium | 4-2 | Win | 175 | |
| This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. We will fade Roki Sasaki at prices like this until we see something positive. After missing most of 2025 with a right shoulder impingement, Sasaki returned late in the year as a reliever after eight starts which were nothing special with a 4.72 ERA and a 6.39 xERA. His fastball velocity, which averaged 96.1 mph in 2025 was well below his peak Japanese NPB levels of 99–102 mph. He had a horrible 1.3% K:BB% in those starts and this spring, it was an even worse -0.57. While we do not take spring stats into too much consideration, his were beyond bad. Parker Messick was a late season callup last season and he shined with a 2.72 ERA in seven starts and while there is expected negative regression, that is inevitable and it is not a big one. He had a 47.9% groundball rate and 3.6% walk rate and is coming off a great spring to solidify a starting spot. 10* (929) Cleveland Guardians | ||||||
| A's vs Braves | A's +125 | Top Premium | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Braves lost their first game on Sunday 4-1 and have still allowed only six runs but now we hit the bottom of the rotation. Bryce Elder had a 5.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 28 starts and while there is positive projection expected with his ERA, it really cannot be any worse, and his WHIP is anticipated to remain right in line with last season. To his credit, he finished strong in 2025 with a 2.82 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over his final seven starts but there remains the big concern of a 4.54 FIP and 1.4 HR/9 over the last two seasons as the long ball has hurt him his whole career. The Athletics were swept in Toronto as the offense could not get going with a .218 OBP and a 45.5% K% but that gets better. Jacob Lopez had a breakout 2025 campaign where he posted a 4.08 ERA and ranked 8th in the majors in K/9 (10.97) among pitchers with at least 90 innings. 10* (921) Athletics | ||||||
