Matt Fargo

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City is coming off a win over Cleveland on Sunday as the Thunder were a rare home underdog being as shorthanded as they are. They hit the road against another quality opponent and they actually opened as favorites but the line has flipped. Three of the top four Thunder players in usage are out with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell all sitting while Chet Holmgren is questionable with a back issue and it would not be a surprise to see him sit as well. Toronto has won its first two games out of the break at Chicago and Milwaukee and while the Raptors take a step up in competition here, they are getting the value having played better on the road than at home. They did win the first meeting in Oklahoma City, road revenge is not in play with a team that is so shorthanded. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 103-43 (70.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (506) Toronto Raptors

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Dallas came through on Sunday in a similar position as a small road favorite and was able to snap its 10-game losing streak with a four-point win at Indiana. Now the Mavericks close out a six-game roadtrip that was wrapped around the break and the win over the Pacers was just their sixth on the road this season and they will once again be without Cooper Flagg. Dallas is 1-6 ATS on the road following a win by six points or less. Brooklyn had won two of three games prior to the break but has dropped its first three games coming out of it, all on the road and all against current playoff or play in game teams and now the Nets are back home where they have been more competitive. Brooklyn is 4-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. Here, we play against teams shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent and after allowing 47.5 or higher percent shooting in five straight games going up against teams allowing 47.5 percent or higher shooting. This situation is 39-19 (67.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (504) Brooklyn Nets

This is a play on the MOREHEAD ST. EAGLES for our OVC Game of the Month. Morehead St. has won five straight games to improve to 13-5 in the Ohio Valley Conference and it is one of four teams within one game of first place with two games remaining so there is a lot on the line. The Eagles are off a Thursday/Saturday road sweep at Eastern Illinois and Western Illinois and are back home for a Tuesday/Thursday close to the season which is before the Thursday/Saturday finish for the other three contenders so they have the edge and this is their final home game of the season where they are 10-2. Southern Indiana is also off a road sweep at those Illinois schools but the difference is that they remain on the road and in a bad spot coming in with their 4-9 road record. 10* (644) Morehead St. Eagles

This is a play on the MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN for our CBB Early Annihilator. Massachusetts is coming off an overtime loss at home against Buffalo on Saturday to fall to 6-9 in the Mid-American Conference and the Minutemen have been one of the most unfortunate teams in the country as justified as they are No. 334 in the Luck Ratings. They have two overtime losses at home, three road losses by three points or less and two other losses against Miami Ohio and Akron. They finally get a break here in a great spot for a blowout to snap their four-game losing streak. Ball St. has also lost four straight games and is 3-13 in the MAC and 8-19 overall. The Cardinals have two-non-Division I wins and their best Division I win was against No. 223 NET Ranked Ohio. 10* (629) Massachusetts Minutemen

This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CBB Letdown Fadeaway. It is now gut check time for Kentucky which has lost three straight games including a tough one point loss at Auburn Saturday against a desperate Tigers team. This is the last game against a non-NCAA Tournament team and this is the first Quad 2 road game. South Carolina snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win over Mississippi St. but the Gamecocks caught them at the right time with the Bulldogs off a pair of upset wins. South Carolina is 11-6 at home but nine of those wins have been in Quad 4 games and its best home win was against No. 70 NET Ranked Oklahoma. The Gamecocks are 1-9 in Quad 1 games and while only two of those were at home, they were blowouts. 10* (623) Kentucky Wildcats

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Bounceback Baller. Indiana had some great momentum going by going on a 5-1 run but it was short lived as the Hoosiers had to go on the road twice to Illinois and Purdue and lost by 20 and 29 points respectively and now they are back home in a smash bounce back spot. This sets up like UCLA on Saturday coming off two blowout road losses and taking out Illinois at home and while this would not be an upset like that, the spot is similar. Indiana is 13-2 at home, losing to Nebraska and Iowa and there will be no lookahead to Michigan St. Northwestern snuck out a home win over Maryland by four points last Wednesday to move to 3-13 in the Big Ten Conference and the Wildcats hit the road where they are 2-7. 10* (610) Indiana Hoosiers

This is a play on the EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. It has been another rough season for Eastern Michigan as it fell to 4-11 in the Mid-American Conference following a loss at Toledo and you know we will get their best effort here. Eastern Michigan has been sneaky good at home this season as the Eagles are 7-5 which does not look good on paper and while two of the losses were bad ones against IU Indianapolis and Western Michigan, we have to take into consideration quality losses and they lost to Ohio, Kent St. and Akron by a combined four points. We cannot say anything bad about Miami Ohio which is 27-0 and has covered four straight games but we will sell high once again on the road as the markets have to continue to inflate the number. 10* (604) Eastern Michigan Eagles