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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs Nets | Nets +17½ -115 | Top Premium | 141-107 | Loss | -115 | |
| This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Star Attraction. We were on Brooklyn last Sunday as they took out Sacramento by 17 points and then gave it right back to Charlotte two nights later in a 31-point loss. The injury situation is more favorable as Noah Clowney has been upgraded to probable which helps the frontcourt depth which is needed against this team. The Nets are now catching a huge number again and they are 15-9 ATS in their 24 games this season after scoring fewer than 100 points. We are going contrarian here in fading the Hawks which are coming off a decisive win over Orlando which came after a revenge win over Boston. This is the sandwich spot as Atlanta has a rough road ahead with the Knicks, Cavaliers and Heat on deck. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. this situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) since 2017. 10* (550) Brooklyn Nets | ||||||
| Reds vs Rangers | Reds +157 | Top Premium | 5-3 | Win | 157 | |
| This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Texas is off to a successful start as it won both series in Philadelphia and Baltimore and is now an overpriced favorite that opened where it should have but has gone up considerably. Mackenzie Gore is in his first season in Texas after a volatile tenure in Washington and he will get his first taste of Globe Life Field in a hitter's environment. He faded down the stretch last season and had a decent start in his opener as he allowed two runs in 5.1 innings against the Phillies and his expectations are juicing him up here. Brady Singer struggled in his opener against Boston as his command was off with a 40-34 strike-ball ratio. After seeing his ground ball rate drop to a career-low 39% in 2025, a key focus for 2026 is returning to his career average of 47.2% and that is going to work out with a revamped slider. He posted a 4.03 ERA and 1.24 WHIP last season. 10* (921) Cincinnati Reds | ||||||
| Phillies vs Rockies | Rockies +180 | Top Premium | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Colorado took two of three against Toronto to close its opening roadtrip and has its home opener today in a great value spot. Michael Lorenzen had a rough opener against Miami as he allowed three runs on seven hits in 4.1 innings and despite being in Coors Field, this is the time to back with the weather in his favor. Last season with Kansas City, he had a 4.64 ERA and he will be a matchup-based option in fantasy baseball due to home run volatility. The Phillies are 3-3 as they split their homestand series with the Rangers and Nationals and are not the surprising big favorite with Aaron Nola on the hill. He had an awful 2025 season where he missed all of June and July and struggled in his opener as well. He is now on the road where he was 0-6 with a 7.01 ERA in eight starts last season and this is not the same as he was a few years ago. 10* (904) Colorado Rockies | ||||||
