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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs Dodgers | Rangers +175 | Top Premium | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Texas had their chances last night but Max Muncy had something to say about it which makes the Dodgers dangerous on any given day but we have value here. Jack Leiter looks like the pitcher many were expecting after an inconsistent 2025 season but still finished with a 3.86 ERA and 1.28 WHIP and after a bad start against Kansas City on June 17, he was awesome. He has already outperformed these long-term projections in his first two starts, flashing elite breakout potential which is what we expected from the start. The Dodgers and Muncy bailed out a bad start from Tyler Glasnow and now they turn to Emmit Sheehan who has gotten off to a bad start with two poor outings as he posted an 8.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in two outings and the top line is not fake as he is pitching to a 6.25 xERA. 10* (929) Texas Rangers | ||||||
| White Sox vs Royals | White Sox +175 | Top Premium | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. The White Sox were held to two hits last night against Kris Bubic and while the matchup looks worse today, it is actually better. Michael Wacha has gotten off to an outstanding start with a 0.69 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in two starts over 13 innings but he is pitching to a 4.03 xERA which shows negative regression is coming. This regression is expected toward a seasonal ERA in the 4.30–4.50 range due to low strikeout rates and advanced metrics similar to his 4.20 xERA from last season. Erick Fedde is the opposite as after his first two games, he has a 4.09 ERA but is pitching to a 2.65 xERA as he followed Grant Taylor who was the opener last time out and he tossed six solid innings. His 1.18 WHIP backs up his solid command and while his strikeout potential is low, his K:BB% is better than Wacha. 10* (911) Chicago White Sox | ||||||
