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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavs vs Pistons | Pistons -4 -110 | Top Premium | 117-113 | Loss | -110 | |
| This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The home team has held serve in this series, winning and covering all four games and while we want to go against the grain here, the numbers cannot back that up. Cleveland was outshot 50.6% to 43.6% from the floor in Game Four but it outscored the Pistons 30-9 from the free throw line and that can be attributed to playing at home. The Cavaliers also grabbed one more offensive rebound than Cleveland, the first time in four games they won the offensive rebound battle. Detroit has won five straight playoff games at home after dropping the playoff opener against Orlando and on the season it is 13-2 at home when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. Cleveland meanwhile is 0-10 ATS this season on the road after allowing 105 points or fewer. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 41-15 (73.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (518) Detroit Pistons | ||||||
| Padres vs Brewers | Padres +137 | Top Premium | 3-1 | Win | 137 | |
| This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. Milwaukee has won five straight games to move seven games over .500 to sit 2.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central so they are hanging around. Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Brewers and he of course has turned into their ace and he has pitched like it the last two games as he has not allowed a run over 11.1 innings against the Nationals and the Yankees. He has a 2.45 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with 70 strikeouts over 44 innings but this is the time to sell high. Despite the loss, the Padres remain in first place in the National League West by a half-game over the Dodgers and turn to Michael King who had a breakout season two years ago but was limited last season with injuries yet is back this season with a 2.76 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through eight starts. 10* (907) San Diego Padres | ||||||
| Rockies vs Pirates | Rockies +163 | Top Premium | 10-4 | Win | 163 | |
| This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. Colorado ran into Paul Skenes last night to make it three straight losses and the Rockies are now 16-26 but are on a much better pace than last season when they did not win their 16th game until June 17th. Jose Quintana is coming off a solid start against the Mets and he has strung together three straight strong outings, posting a 2.12 ERA over that stretch and his overall 3.90 ERA is pretty good for a Rockies pitcher. The Pirates got more than what they expected from Skenes as he went eight innings, allowing just two hits and no walks while striking out 10. They cannot expect anything close to that from Mitch Keller but he has been solid with a 2.87 ERA and 1.04 WHIP but is pitching to an xERA one run higher and he is overvalued based on the Pirates winning his last four games. 10* (903) Colorado Rockies | ||||||
| Angels vs Guardians | Angels +143 | Top Premium | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. The Angels lost a tough one for us last night in the 3-2 defeat as they outhit Cleveland 8-4 but the Guardians got two runs on sacrifices. We mentioned having to pick our spots for the Angels and this is another one that has good value and with a pitching matchup not at a disadvantage. Ried Detmers has been solid this season with a 4.33 ERA and 1.24 WHIP and while the former does not seem too good, he is pitching to a 2.90 xERA as he only has one bad start through his eight outings. Cleveland moved to two games over .500 with the fortunate victory and it continues to lead the White Sox by 1.5 games in the American League Central. Parker Messick has exceeded all expectations with his 2.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP but now is favored by the biggest number he has seen all season. 10* (911) Los Angeles Angels | ||||||
