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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs Blazers | Blazers -1 -110 | Top Premium | 97-116 | Win | 100 | |
| This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a huge game for both sides as Play In Tournament seedings are on the line and we give the edge to the home team. It is simple for Los Angeles as a win here and the Clippers will lock up the No. 8 seed no matter what happens on Sunday. They had a chance to lock it up Wednesday but after a short lived two-point lead over Oklahoma City at home, they were completely overmatched. They come in 19-21 on the road and have not been a good recovery team, going 2-5 ATS in their seven road games following a home loss. Portland does not clinch anything with a win but they stay alive and would also own the tiebreaker, which would make Sunday’s game against the Kings a monumental one but it starts here first. If Portland wins both games, it clinched the No. 8 seed and will open the Play In Tournament against Phoenix with two chances to earn a playoff berth. They are 6-2 ATS as home favorites of six points or fewer. 10* (528) Portland Trailblazers | ||||||
| Guardians vs Braves | Guardians +122 | Top Premium | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Braves are 8-5 following a pair of wins over the Angels to complete a 4-3 roadtrip. Bryce Elder has gotten off to a start no one saw coming and it is not going to last. Last season, he had a 5.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 28 starts and while there is positive projection expected with his ERA, his WHIP is anticipated to remain right in line with last season. There remains the big concern of a 4.54 FIP and 1.4 HR/9 over the last two seasons as the long ball has hurt him his whole career. Cleveland is an equally 8-5 as it has won three straight series including two against the Dodgers and Cubs as the pitching has been outstanding. Slade Cecconi has a 5.23 ERA through his first two starts as he was hit hard by Seattle in his opener but shut down the Cubs and he has a 1.06 WHIP overall thanks to a great BB% following last year where he was top 25. 10* (973) Cleveland Guardians | ||||||
| White Sox vs Royals | White Sox +162 | Top Premium | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The White Sox are coming off a 2-0 win last night and are now 5-8 which is not ideal but they are another team that has played above early expectations as a three-game sweep in Baltimore was decided by five combined runs and we get value because of the past. Davis Martin is off to a solid start as he has a 2-0 record with a 2.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through his first two starts against Miami and Toronto and despite going against those high contact teams, he has an 18.2% K:BB%. The Royals have an identical 5-8 record and turn to Kris Bubic who was great last season with a 2.55 ERA and 1.18 WHIP but was expected for a regression this season. He had a great opening start against the Twins but struggled against the Brewers, allowing four runs on four hits and three walks over five innings and overall has just a 13.6% K:BB%. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox | ||||||
| Rockies vs Padres | Rockies +167 | Top Premium | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | |
| This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Rockies have been playing above expectations as they are 6-7 following a tough loss last night against a walk off grand slam and we have the value tonight. Tomoyuki Sugano has started the season strong with a 1-0 record, 1.69 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over 10.2 innings in two starts including a 5-strikeout performance against the Phillies last time out and he continues to demonstrate elite control with a 5.5% walk rate. While facing a Padres offense that is thought to be strong, they are not as they are No. 26 or worse across the board in batting average, OBP, SLG and OPS. Walker Buehler is severely overpriced here as he has struggled and is in the rotation largely due to injuries as he has posted a 9.45 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP in two starts. His fastball is averaging 92.9 mph, and he is working on refining his delivery to reduce a high walk rate at 15.2%. 10* (957) Colorado Rockies | ||||||
