Kyle Hunter

*3 Star Play Under* The Jacksonville Dolphins rank 32nd in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense this year. Jordan Mincy said this team would be about their defense this year, and that has absolutely been true thus far.

Jacksonville ranks 348th in the nation in average possession length. The Dolphins want to win low scoring battles and control the tempo.

North Florida puts up a bunch of long range jumpers, but Jacksonville ranks 15th in 3 point defense (27.4%) so far this year. 

Both North Florida and Jacksonville turn the ball over about as much as anyone. There should be a bunch of wasted possessions in this game.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* While I don't expect this to be a high scoring game, this total is set extremely low. I have to play the over at this level.

Campbell is one of the better offenses in the Big South. The Fighting Camels have a lot of experience, and this is a team that was very good in the league on offense a year ago. 

Radford has a new coach this year and they are getting out in transition quite a bit more this year. Radford could get some easy opportunities in transition, since Campbell ranks among the 50 worst transition defenses in the country.

All three of the meetings between these two went over this number last year, and Radford is clearly playing faster this season.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Washington State Cougars have seen 3 of their 5 Pac 12 games stay under this low total. Cal has seen 4 of their 6 league games stay under this total.

Mark Fox is known as a defensive minded coach. His team at Cal last year wasn't nearly as good on defense as normal. They are much improved defensively this year. They are doing a great job holding opponents to one shot. Cal ranks 7th in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage. 

Washington State is a very good defensive team. The Cougars rank 29th in the country in defensive efficiency this year. They force a lot of steals and block a lot of shots. They can commit too many fouls at times, but Cal ranks in the bottom 50 in the country in fouls drawn this season.

Look for a low scoring contest.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Merrimack Warriors are a tremendous defensive team. Coach Joe Gallo has them play a unique zone full court press which actually slows the pace of the game down a lot. Merrimack does not give up open looks from 3 because they do a good job extending out the zone.

St. Francis struggles to defend the paint, but Merrimack lacks the guards to get in the paint consistently. They also lack the big men to be able to score in the post. Merrimack ranks first in the league in offensive efficiency so far this year, but Shot Quality numbers show Merrimack is shooting far above what they should be so of late. Regression is coming for the Merrimack offense.

The pace will be slow here and I think this stays low scoring.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The UNC Greensboro Spartans have played 15 games against Division I opponents this year. Of those 15 games, 11 have stayed under this total in regulation. Their highest scoring game in their last ten games is 143 total points and that was against The Citadel. 

UNC Greensboro is 354th in tempo in the country. The Spartans are going to use the clock regardless of who they are playing against.

Mercer ranks 297th in average possession length, so they like to play slowly as well. The Bears are much worse on defense, but UNC Greensboro is weak offensively and they are without one of their leading scorers for this game.

UNC Greensboro has been great at defending the 3 point jumper this year, and Mercer relies heavily on the long range jumper. 

Take the under.