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| Matchup | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels vs Yankees | OVER 9½ -115 | Premium | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | |
| *3 Star Play Over* Luis Gil was in the bottom 13% of all pitchers in the majors in expected ERA last year. He was in the bottom 2% in walk rate. Gil is at best a middle of the road pitcher.Jack Kochanowicz was in the bottom 3% of the league in expected ERA and expected batting average last year. He was in the bottom 1% of all pitchers in average exit velocity allowed. Kochanowicz has a good ERA in three games this year, but his advanced metrics are still very poor. He walks a bunch of guys and gives up way too much hard contact.The Yankees offense is going to be very good. They have one of the lowest batting averages on balls in play in the majors. The Yankees are third in ISO against right handed pitching. The Angels have a poor bullpen as well backing up Kochanowicz. The Angels offense has been above average on the season thus far.It is expected to be warm with a little bit of wind blowing out at Yankee Stadium here.Take the over. | ||||||
