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SATURDAY’S CBB – MEMBER FREE PICK
FREE PICK: Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5
This feels like a great buy-low and sell-high spot with Alabama coming in off back-to-back losses and Mississippi State having won 5 of 6 and fresh off a big cover at home against Georgia. I just don’t think the Bulldogs are on the same level as the Crimson Tide and we are going to get a very motivated and pissed off Alabama team.
The Crimson Tide have some head scratching losses, but they also have wins over Gonzaga, Houston, Tennessee, Florida and Miami. I got to believe they will be 100% invested in this one.
As for Mississippi State, they are 11-4, but a lot of that is schedule. The Bulldogs only two wins vs teams ranked in the Top 100 at KenPom are against No. 45 Arkansas and No. 97 Richmond. They also aren’t just losing to top tier teams. Their 4 losses are to Louisville (No. 87), Minnesota (No. 77), Colorado St (No. 49) and Ole Miss (No. 100). Alabama is ranked No. 17. This is a clear-step up in competition and I don’t think they have any business being favored here. Give me the Crimson Tide +1.5!
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