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Brandon Lee’s Free Pick:

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Today’s Free Pick – Milwaukee Brewers -105
Rating: 30*
Rot: 910
Time: 8:10 PM EST
Site (Opponent) : Home (Twins)
Starting Pitchers: Dobnak (Min), Houser (Mil)

This is too good a price to pass up with Milwaukee at home. I get Minnesota has the better overall record, but this is a lot of respect on the road against a playoff caliber team. Especially given the fact the Twins aren’t playing well. Minnesota was just swept in a 3-game series against the Royals and have lost 4 straight overall.

Starter Randy Dobnak is certainly playing into the line. He’s been great in his first 3 starts. He’s got a 0.60 ERA and 0.867 WHIP. However, the 3 teams he’s faced are the White Sox, Indians and Pirates.

Chicago’s offense is legit, but the other two aren’t. Cleveland is the only team in the majors hitting on .200 at .196. Pittsburgh isn’t much better at .209. That game against the White Sox was also the second game of the season when guys were just getting back into the swing of things.

I’m not saying Dobnak isn’t any good. There’s going to be some regression from his great start. He’s also a guy that doesn’t strike a lot of people out. He’s got 8 strikeouts in 15 innings.

Minnesota also isn’t the only team with a hot starter going. Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser, who has allowed just 1 run in 12 innings with 9 strikeouts. He just posted 7 shutout innings on the road against the White Sox. Give me the Brewers -105!

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