Thursday’s Premium Card (7 NCAAB)
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Brandon Lee’s Free Pick:
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Today’s Free Pick – Villanova Wildcats -9.5
I’ll take my chances with the Wildcats winning by double-digits over DePaul in Thursday’s showdown out of the Big East Tournament. The Blue Demons pulled off a big upset on Wednesday, beating Xavier 71-67 as a 6.5-point dog. As impressive as that performance was for DePaul, I don’t see them being able to stack up a similar showing on no rest against a talented Villanova team that I think is going to be motivated to play well here.
Wildcats closed out the season winning 6 of their last 7 games, with 5 of those 6 wins coming on the road. One of those was a convincing 91-71 win at DePaul. A very discouraging sign for the Blue Demons is that they were able to force Villanova into 17 turnovers and still lost by 20.
No way they can count on the Wildcats to make that many mistakes again, as Villanova was No. 2 in the Big East in offensive turnover rate and No. 29 overall.
Yesterday was also a rare cover for DePaul as a neutral site dog. Blue Demons are just 7-20 ATS last 27 times they have been getting points on a neutral floor. Villanova is 19-7-1 ATS last 27 as a neutral site favorite and with the rest edge should have no problem covering in this one. Give me the Wildcats -9.5!
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