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WEDNESDAY’S MEMBER FREE PICK
FREE PICK – Miami Marlins -155
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 972
I got no problem laying the -155 juice with the Marlins at home on Wednesday. Miami will be out to secure a split after losing the opener of this short 2-game series 5-7 on Tuesday. That win secured a winning road trip for Baltimore, who after a day off tomorrow will return home for 3 against Oakland and 4 against the Yankees. Not saying the Orioles won’t show up, but it’s certainly a possibility in this spot.
The main reason I’m on Miami in this game, is the starting pitching matchup. I’ve really liked what I’ve seen out of 23-year-old Trevor Rogers to start this season. He’s got a 2.40 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 3 starts and we can feel good about that seeing his FIP is at 2.87. He’s also got a K% of 37.1%, as he’s struckout 23 in 15 innings. Just for a reference, Max Scherzer has a K% of 34.8%.
On the flip side of this, the Orioles will turn to Bruce Zimmermann. He’s got a 4.24 ERA and 1.294 WHIP in 3 starts. That’s not great and with a 5.72 FIP, he’s lucky his numbers aren’t much worse. He has a measly 11 K’s in 15 2/3 innings with a K% of 15.9. He’s also allowed 4 HRs and walked 5 in 3 his 3 outings. Give me the Marlins -155!
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