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Brandon Lee’s Free Pick Newsletter

Wednesday, May 25

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San Diego Padres -119

I’ll take my chances with the Padres as a slim -119 home favorite against the Brewers in Wednesday’s series finale. This is just too good a price to pass up with San Diego at home given the big advantage they have on the mound.

Padres will send out Yu Darvish, who has a solid 3.91 ERA and 1.130 WHIP in 8 starts. SD has won 6 of those 8 starts, including a perfect 3-0 record at home, where Darvish has a sensational 1.37 ERA and 0.661 WHIP. Not to mention, Darvish owns a 2.13 ERA and 0.921 WHIP over 7 career starts vs the Brewers.

Milwaukee will counter with Aaron Ashby, who after a couple of decent starts, was rocked for 6 runs on 6 hits and 4 BBs in just 4 innings in his last start at Atlanta. Ashby has had major control problems. He’s walked 13 guys in 13 2/3 innings, totaling at least 4 free passes in each of his 3 starts. Give me the Padres -119!

Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)

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