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Free picks
My free play is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET.
The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020, as their 35-25 record earned them a wild card berth). Chicago lost that series to Oakland 2-1, but opened the current season as favorites to win the AL Central. Minnesota won the AL Central with a 36-24 record, giving them a third postseason appearance in the previous four years. However, Minnesota's postseason woes continued, as they got swept 2- 0 by the 29-31 Astros. Minnesota has almost unbelievably lost 18 consecutive postseason games!
Minnesota opened the current season 5-2 but enters this season having lost 18 of its last 25 to fall to 12-20. In contrast, the White Sox were only 8-9 through April 19 but have won 11 of 15, after a three-game sweep at KC this past weekend. Chicago is now 19-13 and leads the AL Central by one game over the Indians. Meanwhile, the Twins find themselves SEVEN games back of the White Sox and their record is better than only the MLB-worst Detroit Tigers (10-24). The teams open a three-game series tonight in Chicago, as the Twins send Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.02 ERA) to the mound, while the White Sox counter with Dylan Cease (2-0, 2.37 ERA).
Maeda spent his first four seasons with the Dodgers but was traded to Minnesota in February of 2020. Maeda was terrific in 2020, going 6-1 in 11 starts (Twins were 8-3). He posted a 2.70 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and opponents batted just .168 against him. However, he's really fallen off in 2021, going 2-2 in six starts (Twins are 2-4) with a 5.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, while opponents have batted .306! How bad is that? His career BAA is .225.
Cease entered this season 9-11 (over 26 starts) with a 5.00 ERA in his first two years. He did not get a decision in his first three starts of 2021 but Chicago lost all three (his ERA was 3.86). However, he's 2-0 with a 1.10 ERA over his last three starts (White Sox are 3-0), lowering his ERA to 2.37 on the season with a BAA of .208.will go for their fourth win in a row Tuesday night when they open a three-game series against the visiting Minnesota Twins.
Chicago outscored KC 21-4 in its three-game sweep this past weekend and now gets SEVEN consecutive home games, three vs the Twins (7-18 their last 25) and four vs the Royals (losers of EIGHT in a row). Cease is part of a Chicago starting rotation that has combined to go 14-5 with a 2.66 ERA with opponents are hitting .196 off the group. Getting back to Maeda, he owns a 6.63 ERA in four road starts this season, allowing opponents to bat .337. Chicago is the play.
Good luck...Larry