Brandon Lee

Game Details
Oct 30 '20, 9:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | East Carolina vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa -17½ -107 at betonline
Game Analysis

PICK - Tulsa Golden Hurricane -17.5 
RATING: 30* 
ROT#: 108

I've been watching this Tulsa team closely. I played against them and lost badly in their opener against Oklahoma State. They ended up losing 17-6 (+23.5).Could have easily won outright.

In their next game @ UCF they won 34-26 as a 20.5-point dog. I was mad I didn't take them against the Knights, but fired with a 50* Top Play in last week's 42-13 win @ USF as a mere 12.5-point favorite. 

Tulsa isn't just 3-0, they have covered the spread in those 3 games by an average of 19.8 ppg. Covered all 3 by at least 14.5-points. While I think the books are getting closer, I still think the number here is too short. 

I think it's worth noting that ECU was a 28-point home dog to UCF. Tulsa proved they were better, ast least equal to UCF when they played on the field. Factor in ECU is on the road instead of at home and I feel this should be at least past 3 TD's. 

I believe even though the results speak volumes to how good this Tulsa team is, people can't get over their defense being any good with only 4 starters backs. They lost 6 of their top 10 tacklers and what many considered their best DL, LB & DB. 

I think it's a combination of some guys taking big steps forward (Zaven Collins, LB has been outstanding and he's not even their No. 1 tackler). I also give a lot of props to second-year defensive coordinator Joseph Gillespie. 

He was the LB coach for 4 years prior to get promoted to DC in 2019. He played a huge role in 2018 (year before he got the job) in installing the Golden Hurricane's 3-3-5 defense that we see today. 

This defense is similar to what ISU has used slowing down all those pass-happy teams in the Big 12. I got a feeling, much like we saw with the spread offense, this defensive scheme is going to eventually be the defense everyone runs. 

ECU has a good QB in Holton Ahlers, but I see him struggling. Tulsa did give up 330 passing yards to UCF, but that was against a special QB in Dillon Gabriel. What people overlook is that was by far his worst game. Gabriel has thrown for 400+ in every other game. He also only completed 55% vs Tulsa (65%+ in the other 4). 

On the flip side of this, Tulsa's offense got some good mojo going after piling it on a bad USF defense last week. They should continue to feast against an awful ECU defense. Pirates are giving up 4.9 yards/carry, 8.3 yards/attempt and 6.3 yards/play. Give me Tulsa -17.5! 

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Pick Released on Oct 27 at 01:50 pm

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Oct 31 '20, 10:30 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Nevada vs UNLV
Play on: Nevada -10 -112 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

1* Free Pick on Nevada -10 -112

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Pick Released on Oct 26 at 07:09 am

Red Dog Sports

Game Details
Oct 31 '20, 2:00 PM in 3d
NCAA-F | Central Florida vs Houston
Play on: UNDER 83 -110
Game Analysis

under 83

Both teams can score but this is one of the highest totals we have seen this year. All it takes is for one side to struggle with turnovers or missed field goals and we have a 41-38 score that falls short.

Take a look at the under as it has been going up after opening at 78.

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Pick Released on Oct 27 at 04:26 pm