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Home - Baseball Betting
Youngsters in Baseball
More than any other sport, baseball is
a game with a constant flow of newcomers to a roster so you
have to be scouting youngsters in baseball.
Instead of one minor league training area like other sports,
baseball has three levels of minor league play. Just this
week the Red Sox brought up Dave Pauley to start against the
Blue Jays. He was from Double A! The Yankees have been
forced to bring up some kids to fill in with all their
outfield injuries. A year ago they brought up 2B Robinson Canu, who turned out to be pretty good. The 2005 White Sox
brought up several hard throwing young arms from their farm
system who helped them to the World Series title.
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It’s important for the every day baseball bettor to keep
close tabs on injuries and figure out who a team is going to
drop into the every day lineup as well as the pitching
staff. This week I gave out a play on the Minnesota Twins
when they traveled out to Anaheim to play the Angels. In my
write up I mentioned that, “This is another opportunity to
back a terrific young talent before the public knows about
him. Francisco Liriano is being compared favorably to his
teammate Johan Santana. We were way ahead of the curve on
Santana and he has lived up to the hype. We cashed
consistently for two years on Santana before he became
overpriced. We have the same opportunity here although we
doubt it will take two years for the public and the
linesmaker to catch up.
“Since his promotion Liriano has permitted just one earned
run in 10 innings of work. He has allowed just 6 hits in
those 10 innings. The Twins have a solid bullpen to back him
up since Minnesota is limiting his pitches. Minnesota gets
the victory as Francisco continues to amaze.” Liriano did
amaze again, dazzling the Angel hitters and getting an easy
win. Best of all for sports bettors, the Twins were an
underdog. And that’s the thing with these young relatively
unknown pitchers, they are often a dog, providing excellent
wagering value. Remember that betting lines in baseball are
set largely on the starting pitcher and the betting public
is less likely to back a guy they’ve never heard of.
Another guy to keep in mind is Jered Weaver of the Angels.
He is a young stud the Angels have been bringing along
slowly through their farm system. He is the younger brother
of Angels starter Jeff Weaver, but Jared has much better
stuff. In fact, he debuted this week with the Angels and won
his first start, not allowing a run in 7 innings.
Another thing about young pitchers is that many of them are
not ready for the big leagues and are worth a look at as
go-against pitchers. The Phillies have gone with Gavin Floyd
this season and the kid has struggled over and over again.
When they played at LA Thursday, I had a play against him
and the Dodgers delivered, knocking him around. In my
analysis on the game I mentioned, “Phillies starter Gavin
Floyd is having a tough year as a full time starting
pitcher. He has a 6.62 era on the season, and a 9.82 era in
his last three starts. Walks have been a major component to
his downfall which is common with young players.” Check out
walks carefully, as that is a key component of the success
or downfall of any pitcher. Notice that Weaver didn’t walk a
batter in his debut. Young pitchers can offer excellent
betting value: For and against!
We hope this article will help you with your
baseball betting this summer, but
if not make sure that you take a look at a
baseball picks package from one of
our expert handicappers.
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