Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Thursday Free Pick - Los Angeles Dodgers Money Line (-) vs St Louis Cardinals @ 10:10 ET - As long-time followers know, I don't like to lay big prices in money line sports and am a huge proponent of underdog value. However, this spot is taking advantage of a moderate price (certainly not a huge favorite) in a situation where we have a solid pitching edge based on the match-up. While the Cardinals Michael Wacha has a much lower ERA than the Dodgers Kenta Maeda, their WHIP stats are nearly identical. In other words, Maeda has simply been a victim of some bad luck and a few big hits. The Dodgers right-hander has actually been pitching well and, particularly of late, he's on fire on the mound! Additionally, he was rock solid against the Cardinals in his lone start against them (last season) while Wacha has been hit hard in his two most recent starts versus the Dodgers and he was fortunate more runs weren't scored against him. Wacha gave up 18 hits in just 10 innings spanning his two starts against the Dodgers last season. Maeda allowed only 5 hits in nearly 6 innings of work against the Cards in his lone start against them last season and that outing was in St Louis. Maeda will prove even tougher to hit at home where he has a 0.99 WHIP this season. Also, the Dodgers right-hander comes into this outing having allowed only 13 hits in the 20 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Wacha has a 1.50 WHIP in his road starts this season and I look for the Dodgers to bounce back after getting crushed 6-1 last night. Prior to that defeat the Dodgers had won 5 of their last 6 while the Cardinals had lost 5 of their last 6. The Cards are still just 6-9 against teams with a winning record this season and LA is still a solid 17-8 at home this year. Free Pick on Los Angeles Dodgers money line in late night Thursday action. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
10* FREE MLB PICK (Tigers/Astros UNDER 9)
I'll take my chances here on this one staying UNDER the total of 9. I believe we are getting some value here with this number because of the poor road numbers for Tigers starter Justin Verlander. It's not like this is a backend of the rotation guy. Verlander arguably should have won the AL Cy Young last year and he's been throwing better of late and most importantly has owned the Astros, going 4-0 with a 2.05 ERA in 7 career starts against them. Houston will send out Michael Fiers who has a 5.14 ERA in 8 starts overall, but has a strong 3.50 ERA over 3 home starts and a 2.35 ERA over 4 career starts against Detroit. Give me the UNDER 9!
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on St. Louis Cardinals +139
The St. Louis Cardinals won yesterday 6-1 as +140 dogs. They are priced in the same range tonight and I like the value we are getting with them. Michael Wacha has been great all season with a 2-1 record and 2.74 ERA over seven starts. Wacha is also 3-2 with a 2.23 ERA in six starts against the Dodgers all-time. Kenta Maeda is 3-2 with a 5.03 ERA for the Dodgers over seven starts. The Cardinals are 20-6 in their last 26 road games after allowing 2 runs or less. The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 road games, including 8-0 in their last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter.
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5/25 08:00 PM EST NHL (61) OTTAWA SENATORS VS (62) PITTSBURGH PENGUINS.
Take: (61) OTTAWA SENATORS.
Reason: Your free pick for Thursday, May 25, 2017 comes in the NHL as Ottawa heads to Pittsburgh for Game 7. Ottawa has played the defending champs even in the series through the first six games. They are #10 in the NHL in goals allowed, a great stat for a winner take all Game 7. The Senators are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Pittsburgh's defense has been banged up and the Penguins are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play Ottawa.
Italy Under 20 +100
We won our last playin Under 20 action with the USA U20 +205 as they beat Senegal U20 by the score of 1-0. Our next play is to take Italy Under 20 at +100 on Saturday.
Italy Under 20 1
Japan Under 20 0
This is a 1* Free Play on the UNDER Cavs/Celtics.
Game 4 stayed “under” the number and we think that all signs once again point to a lower-scoring affair in Game 5. Boston played admirably without Isaiah Thomas in the line-up in Game 3 and somehow managed to gut out the victory. The C’s weren’t able to maintain that momentum in Game 4 though as the Cavaliers would pull away in the second half for the convincing victory. Now down 3-1, the demoralized and undermanned Celtics have a big hill to climb and frankly, we don’t think they have anything left in the tank. Cleveland is now within striking distance of the Finals and looked better defensively in Game 4 after the epic collapse in Game 3. Note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 15 of its last 27 when leading in a playoff series, while Boston has seen the total go UNDER in ten of 16 this season following a loss by ten points or more. Consider the UNDER in Game 5.
This is a Free #NHL play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.
The Senators forced a Game 7 by winning 2-1 on home ice in Game 6. Craig Anderson has been dominant in these playoffs, allowing just three goals in the first three games of this series. He should bounce back after a bad game here in Game 5 in Pittsburgh. Here is what I said before Game 3: "The Penguins head to Ottawa with this Eastern Conference Final tied at 1-1. Game 2 was a goaltenders duo, with Marc-Andre Fleury edging out Craig Anderson by stopping all 23 shots he faced. The Penguins didn't beat Craig Anderson until late in the third period, and Anderson has been brilliant in both games so far. I expect to see another low scoring defensive battle here in Canada's Capital tonight. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and the under is 5-0 in the Senators last five Conference Finals games. The under is 30-12-2 in Senators last 44 home games." The last Game in Pittsburgh went over the total, but these two teams only combined to score four goals total in the first two games of this series. With both teams now facing elimination, I expect another low scoring battle.
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Thursday 5-25-17
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Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Arizona Diamondbacks -104
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. They have scored at least 5 runs in all 8 of those victories. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 3 in a row and have given up a total of 25 runs in those 3 games. Zach Davies is in line to get rocked again here as he has a 5.44 ERA in 9 starts this year, and a 6.93 ERA in his 5 road starts. Robbie Ray has been great on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 4 starts. The Brewers are 0-4 in Davies' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Arizona.
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