I like the over 2.5 in the under 21 match between Germany and Italy. I hope to see a 2-1 type of score. This match takes place on Saturday afternoon.
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1* Free Play OVER Angels/Red Sox. This is sky-high total, but for good reason in my opinion. Alex Meyer (3-3, 3.52 ERA) who has been hit-or-miss this year, most recently went six scoreless while striking out nine in a win over Kansas City on Saturday. Meyer is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA at home, but just 1-3 with a ballooned 5.59 ERA on the road. Rick Porcello (3-9, 5.05) won the AL Cy Young last year, but he’s looked poor for the most part this season. Porcello was most recently rocked for seven runs over six innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Astros on Saturday. Porcello has struggled with consistency, but I’ll point out that the Red Sox have seen the total go under the number in four of six home games this season when the total is set at 10 or 10.5 (and note that LA has seen total dip below number in 10 of 14 this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range). Porcello has the pedigree to return to form, but Meyer has been a train-wreck on the road all year. Consider the over.
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 6-23-17
OVER 10 Texas/NY Yankees
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1* Free Play OVER Rangers/Yankees.
The visitors hand the ball to Yu Darvish (6-5, 3.35 ERA) who was most recently crushed for five runs off eight hits over five innings against the Mariners on Sunday. It was Darvish’s worst outing of 2017 as he’d also go on to throw first-pitch strikes to just 11 of 23 batters he faced. Darvish has started to fade as we approach the half-way mark, giving up 15 runs over his last 30.1 innings of work. The Yanks counter with Masahiro Tanaka (5-7, 6.34) who is laboring through the worst campaign of his career, most recently getting shelled for five runs off eight hits and a walk in a loss to the A’s on Saturday. Tanaka gave up three home runs in the setback to push his HR/9 to 2.5 on the season. With these two volatile starters going head-to-head, consider the OVER on Friday night.