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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 6-23-17
OVER 10 Texas/NY Yankees
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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick MLB Friday OVER the total in Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:10 ET - The Twins got shutout yesterday and that was the first time that has happened this entire season. Certainly Minnesota should be able to bounce back against Trevor Bauer. The right-hander has had success against the Twins this season but they've seen plenty of him and that repetition eventually leads to success for the hitters. Keep in mind, Bauer has a 4.84 ERA in his career against the Twins. Also, Bauer has a 5.14 ERA in his 6 home start this season and the over is 5-1 in those games! Cleveland has been hot at the plate as the Indians have scored an average of 7.6 runs per game during their current 8-1 hot streak! They should have no trouble with the offerings of the Twins Adalberto Mejia as he is winless in his last 3 starts with an 8.77 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP! He just faced the Tribe in his most recent start last week and Bauer just faced the Twins last week in his most recent start. In other words, plenty of familiarity for the hitters with the repertoire of pitches they will face tonight in Cleveland. The over is 3-0 in the Indians last 3 games. The Twins are 7-3 to the over in road games with a posted total of 10 or 10.5 runs the past 3 seasons combined. Look for more of the same here. Free Pick on OVER the total in Cleveland Friday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
1* Free Play OVER Angels/Red Sox. This is sky-high total, but for good reason in my opinion. Alex Meyer (3-3, 3.52 ERA) who has been hit-or-miss this year, most recently went six scoreless while striking out nine in a win over Kansas City on Saturday. Meyer is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA at home, but just 1-3 with a ballooned 5.59 ERA on the road. Rick Porcello (3-9, 5.05) won the AL Cy Young last year, but he’s looked poor for the most part this season. Porcello was most recently rocked for seven runs over six innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Astros on Saturday. Porcello has struggled with consistency, but I’ll point out that the Red Sox have seen the total go under the number in four of six home games this season when the total is set at 10 or 10.5 (and note that LA has seen total dip below number in 10 of 14 this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range). Porcello has the pedigree to return to form, but Meyer has been a train-wreck on the road all year. Consider the over.
1* Free Play OVER Rangers/Yankees.
The visitors hand the ball to Yu Darvish (6-5, 3.35 ERA) who was most recently crushed for five runs off eight hits over five innings against the Mariners on Sunday. It was Darvish’s worst outing of 2017 as he’d also go on to throw first-pitch strikes to just 11 of 23 batters he faced. Darvish has started to fade as we approach the half-way mark, giving up 15 runs over his last 30.1 innings of work. The Yanks counter with Masahiro Tanaka (5-7, 6.34) who is laboring through the worst campaign of his career, most recently getting shelled for five runs off eight hits and a walk in a loss to the A’s on Saturday. Tanaka gave up three home runs in the setback to push his HR/9 to 2.5 on the season. With these two volatile starters going head-to-head, consider the OVER on Friday night.
Friday, June 23, 2017
Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish vs. Masahiro Tanaka
Yankee Stadium is the site of the matchup between the Texas Rangers and the New York Yankees on Friday, June 23, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Yu Darvish for the Rangers and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees.
Texas opens at +118 while New York opens at -128. The Rangers have a 33-37-1 over/under record and a 41-30-0 run line mark. The Yankees are 41-28-0 against the run line and have a 40-29-0 over/under record.
Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 33-37-1 against the over/under
The Texas Rangers are 41-30-0 against the run line
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 40-29-0 against the over/under
The New York Yankees are 41-28-0 against the run line
Key Texas Rangers Injuries
06/20/17 P Tony Barnette Finger 10-day DL (06/15)
06/17/17 P Andrew Cashner Oblique 10-day DL (06/15)
06/01/17 P Chi Chi Gonzalez Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/26/17 P A.J. Griffin Ribs 60-day DL (05/27)
05/03/17 P Cole Hamels Oblique 10-day DL (04/30)
04/03/17 SS Hanser Alberto Shoulder 60-day DL (03/30)
03/31/17 P Jake Diekman Intestinal 60-day DL (02/14)
Key New York Yankees Injuries
06/16/17 P Adam Warren Shoulder 10-day DL (06/16)
06/15/17 P CC Sabathia Hamstring 10-day DL (06/14)
05/24/17 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Concussion 10-day DL (05/25)
05/03/17 1B Greg Bird Ankle 10-day DL (05/02)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rangers have a 35-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 99 strikeouts over his 94 innings pitched and he's given up 70 hits. He allows 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 211 hitters and walked 98 batters. As a team, Texas allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 628 base hits and 302 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 246 batters and struck out 499. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.89.
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As a team Texas is hitting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Rangers hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Nomar Mazara is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .344. He has 69 hits this season in 248 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .464 and an OPS+ of 109. Elvis Andrus is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 278 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .439. The Rangers have 577 hits, including 107 doubles and 99 home runs. Texas has walked 229 times so far this season and they have struck out 642 times as a unit. They have left 425 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 348 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 39-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.34, Masahiro Tanaka has a 5-7 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 93 hits. He allows 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.23 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 247 batters and walked 90 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 552 base knocks and 259 earned runs this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 204 hitters and struck out 637 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .273, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .438. He has 81 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 245 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .694 with an OPS+ of 190. Starlin Castro is hitting .321 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 90 hits in 280 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .504. The Yankees as a unit have 663 base hits, including 115 doubles and 114 homers. New York has walked 274 times this year and they have struck out on 617 occasions. They have had 517 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They have scored 5.71 runs per game and totaled 394 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rangers/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Doc's Sports Pick: Take the Yankees
#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
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The Minnesota Twins were shut out in a 9-0 loss to the White Sox yesterday. I think they'll make up for it with plenty of runs in tonight's opener of a three-game series at Cleveland.
The Tribe hand the ball to Trevor Bauer (6-5, 5.54 ERA) who held the Twins to a pair of runs on four hits in seven innings of a 5-2 victory at Minnesota his last time out. The Twins does however have the second best road record in the majors, and Bauer's 5.14ERA home at Progressive Field is nothing to brag about. Over is 10-2 in Bauer's last 12 home starts, over is 25-12-2 in Twins last 39 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Twins turn to Adalberto Mejia (1-3, 5.53 ERA) who lost to Cleveland on Saturday when he gave up two runs and five hits through 4 2/3 frames. He was lit up for nine runs (eight earned) in 3 2/3 innings by Seattle in his previous start.
Over is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings at Progressive Field.
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Free Pick on Tigers/Padres UNDER
I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Tigers and Padres. Detroit will send out one of the few bright spots to this season in second-year starter Michael Fulmer, who is tied for 5th in baseball with 11 quality starts (13 total starts). Fulmer has a 3.45 ERA and 1.186 WHIP overall, but has been much better on the road, where he owns a 2.30 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 6 starts. His ERA over his last 3 is 6.50, but he was sharp in his last outing, giving up just 3 runs in 6 2/3 against the Rays. He's also facing a Padres offense that has scored a whopping 6 runs in their last 4 games combined.
San Diego will counter with Luis Perdomo, who has pitched at least 6 innings and allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. The only exception coming in a road start against a potent Diamondbacks offense in one of the most hitter friendly parks. In fact, Arizona is the only team to put more than 3 earned runs on the board against Perdomo this season.
UNDER is 21-7 in Padres last 28 home games after scoring 4 run or less in 4 straight games, 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 interleague road games against a right-handed starter and 5-1 in Perdomo's last 6 starts after he allowed 2 runs or less in his previous outing. Take the UNDER!
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10* FREE MLB PICK (Rangers +108)
Texas is worth a look here against the Yankees. The hype around this game will be the starting pitching matchup that has a couple old rivals facing off for the first time in an MLB game. Texas's Yu Darvish against New York's Masahiro Tanaka. The numbers really tell the story here for these two. Darvish has a 3.26 ERA in 15 starts with a 2.65 ERA in 6 road starts. He also owns a 2.01 ERA in 5 career starts against the Yankees. Tanaka is having his worst season in the big leagues to date. He's got a 6.34 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 14 starts. That includes a 5.88 ERA in 6 starts at home. Tanaka also owns an ugly 7.50 ERA in 2 career starts against Texas and the Rangers come in averaging 7.3 runs/game over their last 7. Give me the Rangers +108!
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1* Free Play on Indians -173
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