6/30 07:05 PM MLB (921) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS (922) OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Take: UNDER Reason: Your free play for Thursday, June 30, 2016 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the San Francisco Giants and the Oakland A's in the Bay Area. Oakland has a weak offense but a decent young arm going in Dillon Overton, off a win over the Angels, 7-3. Oakland is 7-2 under the total in interleague action, plus the Under is 17-8-1 in the Athletics last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They face an ace in Madison Bumgarner (8-4, 1.99 ERA). He has two straight quality starts and combined to strike out 15 in those outings, but he has lost two decisions in a row due to a sleeping Giants offense. The Under is 14-6-1 in the Giants last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play San Francisco/Oakland Under the total.
Detroit Tigers -106
The Tigers head into Tampa Bay here to begin a 4 game set and Detroit at PK price is a nice value play. Detroit has been extremely streaky this season and took back to back games against Miami as Miguel Cabrera is heating up. Miggy drove in 6 runs total in the 2 game span and hit a home run in back to back games as he is anchoring this lineup and providing a giant spark.
Jordan Zimmerman goes for Detroit as he looks to improve on his solid 9-4 record this season. Zimmerman held this Rays team to 2 runs back in May as he made it through 5.2 innings of work in a good start that just saw his pitch count inflate too early to make it deeper.
Some trends to consider. Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Tigers are 18-6 in their last 24 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
At a PK price here, this is a nice spot for Zimmerman and the Tigers. Look for them to continue their winning ways and start this 4 game set off with a W.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Thursday 5* MLB FREE ML Play
Top 10 Capper on The network out of 80+ cappers in 2016. In April Ray went on a 65-47-1 58% +1626 run, 2 Winners up for Thursday (Cubs/Mets & O's/M's) Possibly 1x more play added as we watch the lines today! One of the hottest cappers in the world. 114-92-2 55% +1769 on MLB in 2016. Picking up steam. Discounted $59.95 day pass is up. We look to get back on track and start another run going! As always plays come guaranteed to win or the NEXT day is FREE. 2016 Epic 317-272-2 53% +2881 Run. CBB 296-219 57% +5983 CFB 158-119 57% +2807 MLB 118-93 56% +2074 NFL 25-10 71% +1411 NHL 44-33 57% +1093 Remarkable 152-94 61% +4348 TOP PLAY RUN! $1k bettors are up $43,480! Daily plays GUARANTEED to cash in or the next day of picks is ON Ray! 1-Day All Access best value on the board for $59. 3-Day "Weekend" pass runs you $99 and the 7-Day special is discounted right now for $174.95. (Think of the savings when paying $34.95 for individual plays!)
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Today's FREE MLB WINNER: Cleveland Indians.
4:07 pm pst.
Cleveland is the hottest team in the Majors, winning 12 in a row, with a combination of a potent lineup and a stingy pitching staff. The Indians send Carlos Carrasco to the mound. The RH owns an anemic, 2.73 ERA this season, including a 1.95 road record. Toronto gives RA Dickey the nod. The RH is 5-8 with a 4.23 mark on the campaign but is a far cry from the solid starter he once was. Cleveland is 6-0 their L6 games played on the road, 8-0 their L8 vs. RH starters, and 7-2 in Carrasco's L9 overall starts. Toronto is 1-6 their L7 during Game 1 of a series, 0-8 in Dickey's L8 starts at home, and 4-11 in Dickey's L15 overall starts. Take the Indians. Thank you.
1* Free Play OVER Royals/Cardinals.
Chris Young (2-7, 6.54 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he most recently allowed seven runs on seven hits with four walks while striking out just two over 2.1 innings in a pathetic performance vs. the Astros on Saturday. Note that Young has been particularly horrible in this spot all year, 0-5 with a deplorable 9.70 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with Mike Leake (5-5, 4.25) who was shelled for five runs off nine hits over 3.1 innings in a loss to Seattle on Saturday, striking out one and walking two. Leake’s 1.24 WHIP to go along with just 59 K’s in 91 frames of work leaves everything to be desired. With these two inconsistent starters going head-to-head in this interleague contest, the OVER does indeed become worthy of a second look in this particular matchup.
1* Free Play on Giants -140
Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Detroit Tigers +104
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have gone 2-12 in their last 14 games overall. They should not be favored tonight against the Detroit Tigers. Jordan Zimmerman is 9-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 14 starts for Detroit. He has been at his best on the road, going 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 6 starts. Jake Odorizzi has struggled here of late with a 5.94 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Zimmerman is 1-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Tigers have scored a combined 17 runs the past two days. The Tigers are 12-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season. Take Detroit.
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Thursday Free MLB
Courtesy of Tony George Sports
I-70 Series Winner
VERY RARELY will I recommend laying over -150 in any moneyline wager in MLB, however in the case of the St Louis Cardinals I am doing so. While as a rule I will not lay over -150 for my premium play clients, it is warranted here tonight as the Cards are off an extra innings home loss last night to the hated Royals in the I-70 Series here in Missouri.
Chris Young is a funnel to the bases and home plate for anyone who desires it. This guy should be sent down to the Minors and for some reason Ned Yost continues to play him in the starting rotation. A 6.54 ERA on the season, and a 7.11 ERA in his last 3 starts, is not a recipe for winning. Yes he has gone 2-1 in those last 3 starts, but not against the Cards on the road. Mike Leake is not bargain for St Louis either, but I do not expect Young to make it past 5 innings tonight. He has pitched 12.2 innings in his last 3 starts total.
While KC's batting average their last 5 games has been impressive as a team, better than the Cards, I do not see the Cards losing back to back at home in this series, and Kansas City on the road is not a good bet, winning just 3 out of their last 14.
Free Play on St. Louis - Worth the Stretch
Tony is on a 4-1 run in MLB since Sunday, and has a singled out Best Bet tonight in Bases- Cash it out.
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Baltimore Orioles +107
The Baltimore Orioles should not be underdogs against anyone with the way they are playing right now. They have won seven straight and scored at least 5 runs in eight straight. They have put up 35 combined runs in their past three games alone.
Chris Tillman is having a tremendous year as well. He has gone 10-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.215 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Tillman has never lost to the Mariners, going 7-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in nine career starts against them.
Taijuan Walker is also having a solid season for the Mariners at 3-6 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.163 WHIP over 14 starts. However, he has never beaten the Orioles, going 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in three career starts against them.
The Orioles are 15-1 (+13.3 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last five games over the last two seasons. Tillman is 14-2 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. The Mariners are 1-6 in Walker's last seven starts. Bet the Orioles Thursday.
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Play - Cincinnati Reds w/Finnegan vs Gonzalez.
Edges - Nationals: Gio Gonzalez 0-7 with 8.44 ERA and 1.71 WHIP last 7 team starts, and 0-5 team starts versus N.L. Central foes this season. Reds: Brandon Finnegan 3.18 ERA and 1.24 WHIP last seven starts. With the Reds 3-0 in their last three meeting against Gonzalez, we’ll back the ‘Big Ugly Dog’ here tonight. We recommend a 1* play on Cincinnati. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Baltimore (Tillman) over Seattle (Walker) @ 8:10 Eastern
RHP Tillman of Baltimore has been on fire this season with a 10-1 record carrying a 3.52 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 3.66 ERA on the road. He had a rough outing last session giving up 6 earned runs on 10 hits in 5 innings of work versus Tampa Bay in Camden Yards. Walker for Seattle hits the bump bringing a 3-6 mark and a 3.45 ERA. He is 2-3 with a 2.92 ERA at home. Last time out he went 5 innings allowing 6 hits with no earned runs at Boston, one of his best outings this season. Last three appearances the hurler is 1-0 with an average ERA of 1.65. The Birds, however, bring some strong dice carving out 7 straight wins, 4-0 against RHP. Baltimore is 11-3 in Thursday editions. Remember too, the Mariners come in 1-6 the last 7 starts with Walker and 1-4 in game #1 of a series. By the way, Walker missed his last start because of tendinitis in the right foot. Good Luck.
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Free Pick on Indians -
With yesterday's 3-0 win at Atlanta, Cleveland has now won 12 straight to take a 6-game lead in the AL Central over the Royals. Clearly this team is playing with a ton of confidence and momentum right now and I like their chances of going into Toronto and extending the streak in the series opener on Thursday.
The Blue Jays will be returning home from a 6-game road trip and that's important to note. Toronto is 1-6 on the season in the first game back at home after playing the previous series on the road. The Blue Jays are also outclassed on the mound in this one, as Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco against R.A. Dickey.
Carrasco has a 1.61 ERA over his last 3 starts and is fresh off a complete game shutout at Detroit in his last outing. Carrasco also has been at his best on the road this season, as he's got a 1.95 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 5 road starts. As for Dickey, he's 5-8 with a 4.23 ERA in 16 starts and Toronto has yet to win a single one of his home starts in 2016. He's 0-5 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.381 WHIP in 7 home starts.
Indians are 14-4 in Carrasco's last 18 road starts against an AL team that is hitting .255 or worse as a team, 6-1 in his last 7 starts during game 1 of a series, 8-2 in his last 10 on the road against a team with a winning record and 5-0 in their last 5 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Cleveland!
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10* FREE MLB PICK (Over 7.5)
The OVER is worth a look in today's series opener between the Cubs and Mets. The wind will be blowing straight out to left field at over 10 mph and we have two starters that aren't exactly in prime form at the moment. Chicago's John Lackey gave up 7 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in just 4 1/3 innings of a 6-9 loss at Miami in his last outing and has a 4.59 ERA in 8 road starts this season. New York counters with the Steven Matz, who was rocked for 6 runs on 9 hits with 0 strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings at Atlanta in his last outing. Matz is far from healthy, as he's trying to pitch through a bone chip in his right elbow. I'm not buying just 1 extra day of rest is going to be enough to have him back to his dominant form. I look for both offenses to score in bunches tonight. Give me the OVER 7.5!
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I am going to recommend a small play on the Mariners tonight. Chris Tillman is a fan favorite and a guy that has won 14 of his 16 team starts this season. There are still flaws in Tillman’s game though, but he has been fortunate to receive huge run support in games where he hasn’t pitched his best. I feel that ‘regression’ is in the foreseeable future for Tillman, and that could very well start tonight.
For the month of June, Tillman has a 4.80 ERA and has given up seven home runs. The 7 homeruns are more than the 6 home runs he gave up in April and May. The Mariners have a team that is full of left handed bats and they should be able to take advantage and manufacture runs. Current members of the Mariners have a .297 batting average and a .353 wOBA vs Tillman. Cano and Cruz have each took him deep twice. Cano is swinging a hot bat currently and is hitting .417 vs the Orioles this season. Cruz is 5-for-10 vs the Orioles this season. Tillman has a 4.66 FIP on the road, only a 11.1 K-BB%, and is giving up hard hit balls at 33.3%.
Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Mariners and he has been much better this season pitching in Safeco Field. Walker has held Machado, Davis, Jones, and Schoop to a combined 4-for-26 from the plate. His advanced numbers at Safeco field show a 3.30 FIP, a 25.7 K%, and is only giving up ‘hard hit’ balls 20.9% of the time at home, which is very good.
The Mariners only scored 1 run last night and have typically hit the ball better at home after scoring 1 or 0 runs their previous home game. They have scored 5, 7, 7, and 6 runs the following home game after scoring 1 or 0 in their previous home game.
The Orioles have now scored double digit runs in three consecutive games. While their bats can be said to be hot, they also faced some terrible pitchers. It is expected for a team to somewhat regress and have an ‘off’ night at the plate. I think they do this tonight against Walker who I already mentioned as strong home ‘splits’ on the season. (1* Seattle Mariners)
Brandon swept his card going 3-0 on Wednesday. He has his 10* Soccer Game of the Week Friday (4-0-1 L5 Soccer Picks) available for all sports bettors looking to take advantage along with his 10* CFL GAME of the WEEK. Thursday’s card is definitely not Brandon’s favorite and doesn’t meet his strict betting criteria. Be sure to ACT EARLY on Brandon’s 10* EUROCUP GAME of the WEEK that goes tomorrow along with his CFL GOW and take advantage of the line value before the line movement begins tomorrow!
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