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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-149
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Free Play for Friday

St. Louis Cardinals -149

Bottom Line: This is a big series for the Cardinals, who trail the Brewers by 2 games.  I like St. Louis to cut its deficit this evening behind a gem from Wainwright.  The Cards are always worth a look with Wainwright on the hill.  They are 46-20 in his last 66 starts, 27-11 in his last 38 home starts and 22-7 in his last 29 division starts.  They've won 16 of his 21 starts this season while he's posted a 1.92 ERA.  He has a 2.27 ERA in 20 career starts versus the Brew Crew.  The Cards are 13-7 in these starts, including 4-0 in the last 4.  Peralta is having a nice season, but his 3.56 ERA is well above the mark Wainwright has posted.  He also has a 4.98 ERA in 6 career starts versus St. Louis.  The Brewers are 0-5 in Peralta's last 5 road starts versus a team with a winning record.  Bet the Red Birds.

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Pittsburgh Pirates -108

The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-51) are just 2.5 games out of first place in the NL Central race due to some very solid baseball over the past month.  Off two straight losses, they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  Since June 19, they have only lose three in a row once, so this has been a resilient bunch.

Edinson Volquez has had a nice bounce-back season with his new team.  The right-hander has gone 8-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.298 WHIP over 20 starts and one relief appearance.  He has been at his best away from home, going 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in eight road starts.

Arizona (48-61) is relegated to simply playing out the rest of the season for pride.  It will give the ball to Vidal Nuno tonight, who has gone 2-7 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.299 WHIP in 18 starts.  Nuno is 1-4 with a 4.63 ERA in 11 home starts, and 0-2 with a 4.96 ERA in his last three outings.

Volquez is 27-13 (+16.2 Units) against the money line after two or more consecutive losses for his career.  The Pirates are 4-0 in Volquez's last four road starts.  Pittsburgh is 16-6 in its last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Nuno's last 11 home starts.  Bet the Pirates Friday.

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
+112
  at  PINNACLE
in 41m

The Giants were able to stop the bleeding and salvage the final game of their series against Pittsburgh, ending a six-game losing streak before hitting the road. They are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West but they do lead the Wild Card race, albeit by a half-game over the Braves and Cardinals so every game is big at this point. San Francisco is nine games over .500 on the road and has won seven of its last nine games on the highway against teams with a losing record. The Mets won their last series against the Phillies and they have been playing very good of late, going 14-7 over their last 21 games including wins in nine of their last 11 games at home. That is a significant reason they are favored here but we will be going against them as they are 6-13 in their last 19 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. They send Jon Niese to the hill and while he has been great all season, his first two starts after the All-Star break have been below average and it could continue here. He allowed seven runs in 11 inning combined and while he has fared well against the Giants, he has not gotten the win. The Mets are 1-4 in his five starts against San Francisco and going back, they are 1-8 in Niese's last nine starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Ryan Vogelsong is coming off a quality outing in his last start and he has been pitching very well of late but has not been rewarded as his offense has not done much to back him. Still the Giants have won six of his last seven road starts including the last four against teams with a losing record. Play (955) San Francisco Giants

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

FREE PLAY for 8/1

Pittsburgh Pirates -108

The Key: The Pirates lost the first game of this series to fall seven games below .500 on the road.  However, they are 10-4 in their last 14 following a loss and 9-2 in their last 11 Game 2's of a series.  Additionally, Arizona is just 22-31 on the season in its own ballpark.  Pittsburgh has the edge on the mound with Volquez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six starts.  The Bucs are 5-1 in his last six starts and 4-0 in his last four road starts.  The Diamondbacks have lost each of Nuno's starts since acquiring him from the Yankees.  He has a 4.96 ERA over his last three starts.  His clubs are 0-5 in his last five and 3-11 in his last 14 starts.  Take Pittsburgh.

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Total
8½ ov+108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Friday's Free MLB Pick   ---Blue Jays/Astros OVER 8.5---

This is a great spot to jump on the OVER in tonight's game between the Blue Jays and Astros. Toronto comes in on fire at the plate. They are averaging 6.6 runs while hitting .323 as a team over their last 10 games. I look for them to keep the runs coming against Houston's Collin McHugh, who has an ugly 6.06 ERA and 1.408 WHIP over his last 3 starts.

The Blue Jays won't be the only team putting up a big number. Toronto will be starting lefty J.A. Happ, who has an awful 10.67 ERA over his last 4 road starts. He figures to be in trouble once again, as the Astros come in having scored 24 runs over their last 4 games and have hit lefty starters a lot better than right-handed starters.

Key Trends - OVER is 13-4 in Blue Jay's last 17 games against a team with a bullpen ERA of 5.00 or worse and 12-3 in the Astros last 15 home games after playing 5 or more consecutive games at home.

System - OVER is 54-22 (71%) in games where the total is between 8 - 8.5 runs and the home team is averaging 4.2 or less runs/game and has a OBP of .310 or worse over their last 20 games against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 4.20 and 4.70. BET THE OVER 8.5!

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
+111
  at  PINNACLE
in 41m

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N.Y. Yankees at Boston 7:10 ET

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
-104
  at  BETONLINE
in 41m

Losing starting pitcher David Price (to Detroit) has to hurt. Tampa Bay was making a run in the AL East and now, without the services of their ace left-hander in the rotation, the Devil Rays could very easily crash and burn. Facing a strong 64-43 LA Angels team is definitely not what the Rays needed at this point in time either.

Off yesterday's thrilling extra-inning 1-0 road win at Baltimore, Los Angeles will ask right-hander Matt Shoemaker to keep things going. In his last start at home against Detroit, Shoemaker was in a zone allowing no earned runs and three hits in 7.0 innings of work. Matt fanned five and issued no walks in the Halos 4-0 shutout victory. In his last four starts combined, Shoemaker has been nicked for only eight earned runs and 20 hits in 22.1 frames. That equates to a decent 3-1 mark and a sound 3.22 ERA.

Appearing in just his third game this year for the Rays will be veteran righty Jeremy Hellickson. In a pair of home starts against Boston and Kansas City, Hellickson pitched well allowing one earned run and 11 hits in 9.0 innings. Even though Jeremy couldn't pick up a win in either game, his 1.00 ERA is certainly worth noting. Hellickson has pitched gems against the Angels too. In four career starts against the Halos, Jeremy has assembled a noteworthy 3-1 record and a respectable 1.57 ERA.

With both pitchers in decent form, the team trends could very easily be the deciding factor in this game. If that's the case, LA has the advantage. Los Angeles has won 44 of its last 58 facing a sub .500 opponent, cashed 24 of its last 32 after scoring two runs or less and tasted victory in 40 of its last 58 as a favorite. In comparison, Tampa Bay has dropped six of its last seven priced as a home underdog and seven of nine facing a greater than .500 foe with Hellickson holding the pill.

The emotional loss of Price is going to be difficult for the Rays to overcome. The Halos have a great arm on the mound, plenty of sticks at the plate and they smell blood. Take Los Angeles with Shoemaker. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
-104
  at  BETONLINE
in 41m

Free Pick on Los Angeles Angels -

The Angels are showing great value in what I feel will be a difficult spot for the Rays. Tampa Bay has been scratching and clawing their way back into the playoff picture, but were dealt a big blow when the organization decided to trade away their ace David Price. I think that could have a real negative effect on this team.

Tampa Bay will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who is making just his 3rd start of the season since returning from an elbow injury. Hellickson has pitched well in his first 2 starts, but he's yet to make it past the 5th inning. I'll take my chances that the Angels can get a 1-2 runs early and add on late, which should be enough to bring home a win behind Matt Shoemaker. In his last 3 starts, Shoemaker has a 2.89 ERA and 0.964 WHIP and is coming off arguably the best start of the season. He allowed just 3 hits with no walks over 7 shutout innings against the Tigers. It's also worth noting that Shoemaker limited the Rays to just 1 run on 2 hits over 6 innings back on May 18.

Los Angeles is 31-11 this season when playing against a team with a losing record and are 15-5 in their last 20 road games after scoring 3 runs or less in 2 straight games.

Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 who are a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are just 21-53 in the month of August over the last 5 seasons. That's a 72% system in favor of the Angels. Take Los Angeles!

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-155
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

This is a 1* Free Play on the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Cardinals are worth the price of admission as they send their best to the hill. The visiting Brewers go with Wily Peralta (12-6, 3.56 ERA); Peralta has won three-straight, but note that he’s a pedestrian 3-3 with a 4.98 ERA in six games started lifetime against St. Louis. The Cardinals will feel pretty confident sending out their ace in Adam Wainwright (13-5, 1.92 ERA); Wainwright held the Cubs to zero runs in seven innings to earn a win in his last outing. The big right-hander is 10-6 with a 2.19 ERA and strong 0.89 WHIP in 27 games started life time versus the Brewers and earned a victory going seven strong in his last meeting with them this season. In fact, he was 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in the previous four matchups and has 28 strikeouts with no walks over 30 1/3 innings. Note that St. Louis is a strong 13-8 versus the Brewers at Busch Stadium the last three seasons and holds a 28-15 advantage overall. Jhonny Peralta is batting .400 with four homers in 14 career matchups with Milwaukee and has three of those longballs this season. He's 2 for 6 against Wily Peralta. Consider the Cardinals and Wainwright.

AAA Sports

MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-154
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

The Cardinals will host Game 1 of a three game series featuring the top two teams in NL Central. I think second placed St. Louis will make up ground in the standings tonight, which would also see them extend their lead in the season series to 6-4. 


Here are my keys to the game:


1. Pitching - The Cardinals will send Adam Wainwright to the hill and he's coming off a strong performance at Wrigley in a win over the Cubs. Wainwright (13-5, 1.92 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings allowing five runs in a 1-0 win. He's 7-3 with a 1.63 ERA in games under the lights, and a respectable 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA home at Busch Stadium this season. The Brew Crew will counter with Wily Peralta (12-6, 3.56 ERA) who conceded two runs on six hits over 5 2/3 innings in a win at the Mets his last time out.

2. Home Cookin' - St. Louis needs to avoid a fourth consecutive loss at home. They have a strong 29-23 home record, and should be able to get back on track tonight with their ace on the hill.  

3. X-factor - Wainwright has dominated the Brewers in the last four meetings, going 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and striking out 28 over 30 1/3 innings. 
Selection: This is a play on the St.Louis Cardinals (Free)

MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
-113
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Toronto Blue Jays -118

The Jays have been playing inspired baseball since the break. They didn’t make any moves at the break so they should be focused on taking advantage of this series against Houston and getting players healthy for the stretch run. 

Starter J.A. Happ is underrated because of his consistency but he should be able to be solid enough to win against the Astros who are missing their biggest bat in the form of super looking rookie George Springer.

Friday 5* FREE MLB Pick

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers
Total
9 ov-105
  at  BETONLINE
in 36m

FREE MLB Over-Under FRIDAY  (8-1-14)

COLORADO ROCKIES @ DETROIT TIGERS  (7:05 PM EST)

PLAY ON: OVER 9 -105  (MLB)

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Total
7 un-110
  at  BOVADA
in 3h

Friday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take Chicago Cubs/Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER (Friday, 10:10pm EST)  The Chicago Cubs head west on Friday night to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. Kyle Hendricks is schedule to get the nod for the Cubs and I’ve been really impressed with the moxie this young man has shown so far. In his first three starts he has posted a miniscule 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with a solid 14-6 K/BB ratio. He has also been impressive at every level of the minor leagues, so he could be here to stay. The Dodgers have never seen Hendricks, so he should have the upper hand the first time or two through the order. Chicago will face Dan Haren, a guy that has had an up and down season with the Dodgers. He comes into Friday’s matchup with a 4.49 ERA, but he’s pitched much better than that. He has a very respectable 92-26 K/BB ratio on the season, but he’s had problems with runners on base. If he can get that straightened out, he should be an asset to the team as they look to lock up a playoff spot. The Cubs could be a little bit fatigued as they have to travel in from Chicago without a day off. That’s not an easy trip during the dog days of summer and the hitters usually suffer. I think this one could turn into a bit of a pitcher’s duel, so we’ll play under the total. Football is just moments away and Doc’s Sports 2014 Football Packages are now posted. Jump on board with a veteran handicapper with 43 years of experience!  

MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

DMack's Free Play for Friday, August 1, 2014 is on the Toronto Blue Jays

Good things are happening for the Toronto Blue Jays. They've won 11 of 13 and will get some pretty good healthy bodies back before too long. J Happ has won both his starts since the break as one would figure, both quality efforts against the Red Sox and Yankees. He'll face Collin McHugh who basically is throwing batting practice, he's 0-6 with a 5.51 ERA in his L6, 6.61 in his L3. The Astros have lost nine of their L12 at The Juice and things don't figure to improve here. Take the Jays.

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MLB  |  Aug 01, 2014
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
-186
  at  BOVADA
in 3h

FREE MLB PLAY FRIDAY  (8-1-14)

CHICAGO CUBS @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS  (10:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: LA DODGERS -186  (MLB)

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