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07/30 06:05 PM MLB (927) BOSTON RED SOX VS (928) LOS ANGELES ANGELS.
Take: over the total.
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, July 30, 2016 is in the baseball contest between the Boston Red Sox and the Angels in Anaheim. Boston has the top offense in baseball in runs, on base percentage and slugging. The Over is 23-10-1 against a losing record, as well as 23-8 over versus the AL West. They are not a great road team because of suspect pitching and Drew Pomeranz has not been impressive with his new team, allowing 12 hits and 7 runs in 9 innings. Hector Santiago goes for LA with a 4.28 ERA, walking 51 in 115+ innings. He has a 5.82 ERA at home and the over is 9-4 when he starts. LA is home with an offense that is picking up and the Over is 18-7-2 in the Angels last 27 during game 3 of a series. Play the Red Sox/Angels Over the total.
The MLB Comp play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates at 7:10 eastern. The Pirates fit a solid 81% MLB Database system that plays on road favorites off a road favored loss, scoring 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits vs an opponent off a home dog win scoring 4 or less runs on 5+ hits if both teams had 0 errors. The Pirates are averaging over 5 runs the past week and have played well winning 14 of 21 in July. Milwaukee has lost 11 of 14 as a home dog in this range and 31 of 48 vs winning teams. Chase Anderson and his 4.44 home Era is on the mound and he has a 5.89 era vs the Pirates. Tailion goes for Pittsburgh and he was solid in a 6 inning 1 run stint earlier in the season. He has a solid 2.50 road era and has won 5 of 7 this season. Look for the Pirates to win this one. On Saturday the headliner plays are a rare Triple perfect 6* and another MLB Undefeated totals system play. Last night card cashes 2 of 3. Jump on now and put this cutting edge data on your side. For the MLB free pick. Play on the Pirates. RV
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10* MLB Free Pick (Rangers -116)
Texas is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Royals. Kansas City is on a complete free-fall at the moment, as they have dropped 8 of their last 10. The Rangers on the other hand have won 2 straight and 5 of their last 7. Texas will send out Martin Perez, who is 6-1 with a 2.69 ERA in 10 home starts. The Royals will counter with Ian Kennedy, who is 3-6 with a 4.86 ERA in 12 road starts and has a 7.37 ERA in his last 3 outings overall. Give me the Rangers -116!
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Free Pick on Pirates -
I feel like this is more than a fair price to back the Pirates on the road against the Brewers. Pittsburgh will have a huge edge on the mound in this one with emerging youngster Jameson Taillon facing off against the struggling Chase Anderson of Milwaukee.
Taillon has a 3.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last 3 starts and that includes a strong outing against the Brewers, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings of work. As for Anderson, he's struggling just to last 5 innings. In fact, he hasn't pitched more than 5 innings in 7 straight starts. He's got a ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 19 starts and is really struggling with his command right now, walking 13 in his last 4 outings.
Milwaukee has won 3 of their last 4, but that's typically when it goes bad for the Brewers, as they are just 3-13 on the season after a 3-1 stretch. Milwaukee is also just 5-20 as a home dog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Take Pittsburgh!
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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Cincinnati Reds -113
The Cincinnati Reds are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall. The San Diego Padres are going into the tank as they have been trading away a ton of players prior to the deadline and are just 3-8 in their last 11 contests.
Cincinnati has the clear edge on the mound in this one behind Anthony Desclafini, who is 6-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in nine starts. One of those starts came against San Diego on June 26 as Desclafini pitched 8 shutout innings in a 3-0 victory.
Christian Friedrich hasn't fared well at all this season, going 4-6 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in 13 starts, 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.846 WHIP in five home starts, and 0-2 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.950 WHIP in his last three outings. Friedrich has also posted an 8.79 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in three career starts against Cincinnati.
The Reds are 12-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Cincinnati is 4-0 in Desclafini's last four starts. The Padres are 0-6 in Friedrich's last six starts vs. NL Central opponents. Bet the Reds Saturday.
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Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Chicago White Sox +112
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Chicago White Sox tonight as road dogs to the Minnesota Twins. The Sox will be hungry to end a 3-game losing streak and should do so with their advantage on the mound in this contest. Miguel Gonzalez is 2-5 with a 4.34 ERA in 15 starts, 0-2 with a 3.76 ERA in 9 road starts, and 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. Tom Milone is 3-3 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in 10 starts this year. Milone has been blown up in his last 2 starts against the White Sox, giving up 12 runs, 9 earned, and 20 base runners in 7 innings. Look for Chicago to tee off on him again here Saturday. The Twins are 10-27 in their last 37 vs. AL Central teams and 8-25 in their last 33 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Chicago.
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Rickenbach MLB Game #927 - 2nd of 2 FREE PICKS Saturday - Boston Red Sox Money Line -120 @ Los Angeles Angels @ 9:10 ET - With this line dropping down to a -120 after opening at a -145 I feel the small road favorite is absolutely worth a look in this game. Yesterday the Red Sox got the 6-2 win over the Angels as the BoSox handed LA their 5th loss in their last 8 games. As a home dog of anywhere up to +150 the Angels have gone 4-15 this season! The Red Sox will have Drew Pomeranz on the mound and he has a 2.32 ERA in his road starts this season. His counterpart tonight is Hector Santiago and the Angels southpaw has a 5.82 ERA in his home starts this season. Santiago has walked 7 in his last two starts and the powerful Red Sox lineup can make him pay for giving away free passes! Pomeranz had a tough outing in his debut with Boston (after coming over from San Diego) but he responded with a rock solid quality outing in his 2nd start and I expect more of the same here. The Angels have been held to 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 8 starts. The Red Sox have averaged 6.2 runs per game in their last 10 games. 2nd of 2 Free Picks that I am releasing on Saturday is the Boston Red Sox on the money line. Best of luck always, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
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