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2006 San Diego Padres Predictions

In a weak division, there are high hopes for our 2006 San Diego Padres predictions.  Despite winning 5 fewer games in 2005 than they had in 2004, the Padres still took the NL West relatively easy over their inferior opponents.  I expect another division title in 2006 to be harder to come by with a healthy Barry Bonds returning to the lineup for the Giants.

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I’m sure if you followed baseball much at all last season you heard about the Padres players complaining about their ballpark not being hitter-friendly.  The Padres finished just 3 games over .500 at Petco in 2004 and despite continued complaining they improved to 11 games over the .500 mark in 2005.  I expect they’ll understand even more in 2006 that they aren’t going to be a long ball team and they’ll focus on hitting line drives which will improve their home record even more.  I expect taking the Padres at home, especially within their division, to be a money play this season.  This team doesn’t have an extremely potent lineup anyway you look at it, but Brian Giles may be the Padre that seems to have been hurt the most by the new ball park.  Last season he only mananged 15 home runs and 83 Runs Batted in, after being a consistent 30+ home run guy in Pittsburgh for so many years.  Khalil Greene will have to be a little better in the shortstop position with another year under his belt.  I think you are going to see Mike Piazza is way past his prime and won’t be able to produce in the catcher spot.  This team doesn’t have a whole lot of offensive punch.

The pitching staff has Jake Peavy which is pretty much a stud, and Chris Young who is a young gun poised to make a big move this year after moving over from the American League.  Do Chan Ho Park and Woody Williams have anything left in the tank?  Who knows but if one of them can produce then this staff is going to be decent from top to bottom.  The bullpen still has Trevor Hoffman who managed 43 saves last season.  Linebrink and Alan Embree are solid options in the setup position.  It’s going to take a nice season from these arms in order for the Padres to do much damage in the National League West.

San Diego really struggles on the road as they were just 36-45 last season.  Inconsistent road play can be expected from young teams.  With another year of experience under their belts, they should be able to improve 5 wins on the road in 2006.

Poor baseball divisions are made up of inconsistent teams.  The inconsistency of the NL West makes it tough to gage who will be at the top of the division come October as bad teams can fall into a terrible slump at any time.  It happened to the Royals last season and realistically the teams in this division are not head and shoulders above a team like Kansas City.  With that being said however, despite a down year in 2005, San Diego is moving in the right direction, and I think the NL West comes down to the Padres and the Giants.

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