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2006 Florida Marlins Predictions

When trying to come up with our 2006 Florida Marlins predictions we had to keep in mind that the Marlins are a tricky team to get to the bottom of. They win a World Series, hold a fire-sail, and then start rebuilding again.  The last time though they did seem to rebuild fairly quickly. They have had back to back seasons hanging around the .500 mark and losing backers units. But you never know. If they make the playoffs they seem to be able to win the World Series as their only 2 playoff appearances in franchise history have led to World Series Championships. I would suspect the Chicago Cubs are slightly envious.

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It doesn’t look like they’ll be back in a playoff chase this year, especially after losing two of their best pitchers, Josh Beckett, to the Red Sox and AJ Burnett to the Toronto Bluejays.  They also lost their closer in Todd Jones to the Detroit Tigers, even though last season he gave them 40 saves an a low 2.10 ERA.  Instead they picked up Joe Borowski, who was a solid option for the Cubs a few years ago but injuries have torn apart the last two years for him.  The Marlins do still have their ace in Dontrelle Willis, but I’m not expecting him to repeat the 22 win performance he had last season. 

Surprisingly the team had a solid campaign at the plate in 2005, leading the National League with a .272 average.  Of course they don’t have half of their big names back and will have to rely on a bunch of rookies.  Miguel Cabrera is back though and will be able to post MVP like numbers if opposing pitchers pitch to him at all.  This guy is as solid as they come, batting .323 last year with 33 home runs and 116 runs batted in.  Don’t think that he is going to be around for too long down in the Sunshine State as he’ll be commanding big money soon.

What should you expect from the Marlins in 2006? You can expect Florida to crush left handed pitching. The Marlins won 22 of 32 games as a road favorite when facing left handed pitching the last 3 years. Another lesser known trend that you should be on the lookout for is how teams respond after a loss. Do they rebound well, or does it get them in a rut. If the Marlins lose by double-digits, they come out the next game playing inspired ball. In fact, they have won 22 of 34 for a positive 10 unit gain after a double-digit loss. However, they are minus 11 units coming off a loss and minus 24 units after a win the past 2 seasons. I would expect these stats to vary some in 2006, but expect the Marlins to once again find some motivation after a big loss.

The Marlins are going to be in a tough division this season with the Mets and Braves being the real deals.  On the other hand the Phillies and Nationals are both a lot better than this team will be.  If this team gets past 70 wins it should be considered a success.  There is no doubt that bettors will be going against Florida heavily this season, so pick your sports and join them when Willis hits the mound as good value should be shown.

This article was written by Jimmy Boyd  Pick up his Free Baseball Picks here.
 

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