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Home - Baseball Betting
2006 Colorado Rockies Predictions
Our 2006
Colorado Rockies predictions who that they are the worst team in the
worst division in baseball, but for being so bad, they are great on
their home field. You can forget about taking them on the road as
they are just 207-360 for a negative 87 units the past 7 years as
opposed to their respectable 53% home winning rate for a 9 unit gain.
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Because the Rockies
were so bad in 2005, finishing at 67-95 on the season, they found
themselves a home underdog more than 40 times last year. This provides
bettors with a great opportunity to cash in on the Rockies while risking
less. They have a losing record as a home dog over the past 3 seasons
at just 58-60 but they have profited 12 units. And against their
pathetic division they have won 30 of 50 as a home dog for a 17 unit
gain. You’ll want to be sure to pound this situation in 2006.
As a general rule of
thumb, when a team has a far better home winning percentage than road
winning percentage, it is because they are a bad team. The Rockies will
once again be branded a bad team in 2006 and I expect that, as in 2005,
the lines won’t properly adjust at home and we’ll be able to take
advantage of them as a home underdog especially within their division.
There aren’t a whole
lot of pitchers that are willing to go to Coors and watch their ERAs
blow up right before their eyes. Jason Jennings is as good as they
have, using his late sinker to challenge hitters in the park where balls
do not have a lot of movement to it. Byung-Hyun Kim joins the staff
this season and will try to support young guys like Aaron Cook and Jeff
Francis. You can probably expect to see 40+ saves this year out of
closer Brian Fuentes.
The team’s hitters
aren’t really a whole lot better, even if their numbers look decent due
to playing half their games on their home field. Todd Helton answered
questions of him being on steroids by having a down year with power,
hitting only 20 home runs. Clint Barmes should provide some help to him
after going off for a great start last season before getting hurt. Matt
Holliday needs to break out and show that he is as good as expected.
This team is going
to struggle to compete in the National League West since it is
impossible for them to get any sort of pitching staff put together. The
other teams in the division also have more punch in their lineups and if
Colorado can’t get any more runs across the plate when they go to
visiting parks, you aren’t going to see them winning very many games. I
believe that another problem this team faces is fatigue. The thin air
wears on the arms of the players and that also effects them on the
road. Is there a psychological effect of hitting bombs at Coors and
then going somewhere like Petco and not being able to hit it to the
warning track.
This article was written by Jimmy Boyd Pick up his
Free MLB
Picks here.
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